Marina Bassols Ribera vs Elvina Kalieva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
24
1st serve percentage
63%48%
1st serve points won
71% (29/41)50% (12/24)
2nd serve points won
46% (11/24)42% (11/26)
Break Points Saved
8/104/9
1st return points won
58% (14/24)34% (14/41)
2nd return points won
58% (15/26)54% (13/24)
Break Points Converted
5/92/10
Service Points Won
62% (40/65)45% (22/49)
Return Points Won
55% (27/49)38% (25/65)
Total Points Won
59% (67/114)41% (47/114)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
01
Service games won
78% (7/9)38% (3/8)
Return games won
63% (5/8)22% (2/9)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Marina Bassols Ribera
32.2%
Elvina Kalieva
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 54.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marina Bassols Ribera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marina Bassols Ribera's form might have worsened.
  • Elvina Kalieva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elvina Kalieva's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Bassols Ribera than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marina Bassols Ribera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elvina Kalieva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marina Bassols Ribera - Elvina Kalieva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.28)

    1.39
    (1.58)
    6.2%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Marina Bassols Ribera - Elvina Kalieva?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bassols Ribera will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kalieva will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bassols Ribera is ranked WTA: 205. Kalieva is ranked WTA: 140.
    • Bassols Ribera is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Kalieva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bassols Ribera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Kalieva will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Marina Bassols Ribera
    Latest results of Elvina Kalieva