Result
1:1
30/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Paulista A2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Ze Vitor ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, Neto Berola (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Ferroviária
38.4% | Draw
32.4% | Ituano
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Ferroviária - Ituano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.32) |
2.82 ↓
(2.9) |
3.14 ↓
(3.16) |
9.4%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ferroviária might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Ituano?
Ferroviária has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Ferroviária?
Ituano has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Ituano were as follows:
23.04.2026
Ituano
-
Ferroviária
0:1
17.01.2026
Ituano
-
Ferroviária
1:1
19.03.2025
Ituano
-
Ferroviária
4:1
15.03.2025
Ferroviária
-
Ituano
2:0
22.01.2025
Ferroviária
-
Ituano
3:1
Latest results of Ferroviária
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Votuporanguense (1) | Juventus-SP (2) | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Ferroviaria (1) | Ituano (2) | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Juventus-SP (2) | Ferroviaria (1) | |
