Maringá vs Retrô Brasil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
255
Shots on target
91
Corner Kicks
133
Yellow Cards
54
Total shots
255
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
164
Corner Kicks
133
Goalkeeper Saves
18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Danielzinho 🟨,
  • 30', Gledson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Luquinhas , Esquerdinha ,
  • 46', Joao Lucas , Fabinho ,
  • 52', Fabinho 🟨,
  • 56', Radsley 🟨,
  • 61', Diego Guerra , Vagner Love ,
  • 62', Danielzinho , Bruno Cheron ,
  • 70', Mendonca , Robson Reis ,
  • 72', Evanderson , Julio Rodrigues ,
  • 72', Luiz Fernando , Robertinho ,
  • 82', Tales , Bruno Marques ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+8', 🟨,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Maringá
52.9%
Draw
28.1%
Retrô Brasil
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 28.1% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 23.1% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maringá that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Retrô Brasil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maringá - Retrô Brasil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.75)
    3.25
    (3.25)
    4.8
    (4.6)
    9.6%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Maringá - Retrô Brasil?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maringá will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Maringá (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Maringá (1.76) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Maringá (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Retrô (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
    • Maringá has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Retrô is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Maringá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Maringá is a strong favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Maringá
    11.08.2025 Figueirense - Maringá 1:1
    03.08.2025 Maringá - Floresta 1:1
    28.07.2025 Tombense - Maringá 1:1
    19.07.2025 ABC - Maringá 3:3
    14.07.2025 Maringá - Brusque 0:2
    Latest results of Retrô Brasil
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ituano11002:023
    2Maringa FC11003:213
    3Brusque11002:113
    4Floresta EC11002:113
    5Santa Cruz11001:013
    6Paysandu PA11001:013
    7Botafogo PB11001:013
    8Amazonas11001:013
    9Figueirense10101:101
    10Guarani10101:101
    11Maranhao10101:101
    12Ypiranga FC10101:101
    13Ferroviaria10012:3-10
    14SER Caxias10011:2-10
    15Inter de Limeira10011:2-10
    16Volta Redonda10010:1-10
    17Itabaiana10010:1-10
    18Confianca10010:1-10
    19Barra FC10010:1-10
    20Anapolis10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D