Result
1:1
28/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Lucas Mila 🟨,
- 23', Everton Morelli 🟨,
- 27', Max Miller 🟨,
- 34', Leo Pereira ↓, Julio Henrique ↑,
- 45', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 0 - 1, Ze Vitor ⚽,
- 65', Fabricio Dias ↓, Pedro Oliveira ↑,
- 65', Lucas Mila ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 65', Rafael Silva ↓, Ze Eduardo ↑,
- 69', Ianson ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 71', Danielzinho ↓, Jhow Alecxander ↑,
- 74', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
- 74', 🟨,
- 76', Fernando 🟨,
- 78', Ze Vitor ↓, Vinicius Amaral ↑,
- 79', Maranhao ↓, Julio Rodrigues ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Pedro Oliveira (Pen),
- 84', Buga ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
- 90', Joao Felix 🟨,
- 90+1', Kaike 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tombense
35.6% | Draw
30.7% | Maringá
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tombense's form might have worsened.Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maringá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tombense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maringá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tombense - Maringá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.13) |
2.97 ↓
(3.08) |
2.71 ↓
(3.23) |
9.5%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tombense - Maringá?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maringá (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Tombense (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tombense (votes: 1 - 50%). Maringá (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 16).
- Tombense has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Maringá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Maringá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Maringá?
Tombense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maringá won against Tombense?
Maringá has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Maringá were as follows:
Latest results of Tombense
Latest results of Maringá
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amazonas | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Brusque | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Paysandu PA | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Floresta EC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Ypiranga FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Ituano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | SER Caxias | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Maringa FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Guarani | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Barra FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Inter de Limeira | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Santa Cruz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Maranhao | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Confianca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 | Ferroviaria | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Itabaiana | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
