Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Oriol Roca Batalla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/04/2026 at 06:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
36
Double Faults
34
1st serve percentage
71%59%
1st serve points won
55% (40/73)64% (30/47)
2nd serve points won
37% (11/30)53% (17/32)
Break Points Saved
12/200/4
1st return points won
38% (18/47)45% (33/73)
2nd return points won
47% (15/32)63% (19/30)
Break Points Converted
4/48/20
Winners
2335
Unforced errors
3146
Net points won
57% (4/7)92% (12/13)
Service Points Won
50% (51/103)61% (47/77)
Return Points Won
39% (30/77)50% (52/103)
Total Points Won
45% (81/180)55% (99/180)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
47% (7/15)71% (10/14)
Return games won
29% (4/14)53% (8/15)
Total games won
38% (11/29)62% (18/29)

Chances of winning


Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
29%
Oriol Roca Batalla
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 59.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mario Gonzalez Fernandez's form might have worsened.
  • Oriol Roca Batalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oriol Roca Batalla's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriol Roca Batalla than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oriol Roca Batalla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Oriol Roca Batalla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.18
    (2.34)

    1.3
    (1.52)
    8.1%
    (8.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 583. Batalla is ranked ATP: 401.
    • Gonzalez Fernandez is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Batalla has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Batalla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Batalla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.