Maroons vs Lugazi Municipal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
25/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Walugembe R. ,
  • 34', 2 - 0, Nunda J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 87', 3 - 0, Asaba I. ,

Chances of winning


Maroons
54.7%
Draw
28.2%
Lugazi Municipal
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 28.9% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 29.4% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maroons's performance.
  • Lugazi Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugazi Municipal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maroons that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugazi Municipal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maroons - Lugazi Municipal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.92)
    3.22
    (3.11)
    5.32
    (3.7)
    10.1%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 9).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lugazi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Maroons could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maroons won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Maroons won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maroons - Lugazi Municipal were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Lugazi Municipal - Maroons 0:1
    06.10.2024 Maroons - Lugazi Municipal 1:0
    Latest results of Maroons
    22.11.2025 Vipers - Maroons 2:1
    29.10.2025 Police - Maroons 2:1
    22.10.2025 Maroons - Calvary 0:0
    15.10.2025 UPDF - Maroons 1:2
    Latest results of Lugazi Municipal
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers17125037:92841
    2Kitara17113325:121336
    3Kampala City18113426:161036
    4Villa17104326:101634
    5Entebbe UPPC18104418:11734
    6Police1895429:20932
    7NEC FC1869320:16427
    8BUL1865718:19-123
    9Maroons1746714:14018
    10Lugazi1846815:24-918
    11Express1746714:17-318
    12Buhimba18431115:38-2315
    13Mbarara City1736814:26-1215
    14URA SC1729614:19-515
    15UPDF18331212:26-1412
    16Calvary1705126:26-205

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League