Result
2:2
04/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | Claro Sports 2 Latin America, ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', Lopez C. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Gomez S. ⚽,
- 26', 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Casas D. ⚽,
- 33', Lopez C. ↓, Cano J. ↑,
- 34', Estrada C. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 2, Fernandez K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Escobar M. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
- 46', Vasquez E. ↓, Fuentes F. ↑,
- 48', Sanchez D. 🟨,
- 58', Ramirez K. G. A. ↓, Morales H. ↑,
- 62', Fernandez K. ↓, Sequen M. ↑,
- 63', Lon A. ↓, Alvarado C. ↑,
- 68', Villalobos J. ↓, Mencia R. ↑,
- 68', Joj J. ↓, Ceballos M. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 2, Ceballos M. ⚽,
- 78', Avalos V. ↓, Garrido S. ↑,
- 80', 🟨,
- 84', Mencia R. 🟨,
- 85', Almanza J. ↓, Cruz G. O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Marquense
42.6% | Draw
30% | Deportivo Guastatoya
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2) |
3.06 ↓
(3.1) |
3.35 ↓
(3.6) |
9%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Guastatoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Marquense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marquense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Marquense won against Deportivo Guastatoya?
Marquense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Guastatoya won against Marquense?
Deportivo Guastatoya has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya were as follows:
23.11.2025
Deportivo Guastatoya
-
Marquense
5:0
17.09.2025
Marquense
-
Deportivo Guastatoya
0:2
29.03.2025
Deportivo Guastatoya
-
Marquense
1:0
25.01.2025
Marquense
-
Deportivo Guastatoya
2:0
05.10.2024
Marquense
-
Deportivo Guastatoya
1:1
Latest results of Marquense
Latest results of Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Comunicaciones | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 32 |
| 2 | Deportivo Mixco | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
| 3 | Xelaju | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Antigua | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Coban Imperial | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Municipal | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Marquense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Guastatoya | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:30 | -10 | 25 |
| 10 | Aurora F.C | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 19 |
| 11 | Deportivo Achuapa | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14:24 | -10 | 18 |
| 12 | Malacateco | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )
