Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Guatemala | Azteca Guatemala |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Fajardo W. ⚽,
- 19', 2 - 0, Colon S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Escobar M. ↓, Joj J. ↑,
- 54', Vasquez E. 🟨,
- 56', Colon S. ↓, Chinchilla C. ↑,
- 57', Herrarte K. ↓, Rigoberto R. D. ↑,
- 58', Chavasco G. 🟨,
- 64', 🟨,
- 67', Chavasco G. ↓, Monroy E. ↑,
- 68', Lemus M. ↓, Salguero O. ↑,
- 69', 🟨,
- 72', Chuc D. 🟨,
- 82', Chinchilla C. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 1, Casas D. ⚽,
- 88', Amaya W. ↓, de Leon C. ↑,
- 90+1', Lopez C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Fajardo W. ↓, Menendez B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mictlán
55.9% | Draw
26.7% | Marquense
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mictlán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Marquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mictlán than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Mictlán - Marquense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.6) |
3.41 ↑
(3.4) |
5.22 ↓
(5.4) |
10.2%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mictlán - Marquense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mictlán (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Mictlán will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mictlán won 2.
- Mictlán has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Marquense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Marquense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mictlán is a strong favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mictlán won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mictlán won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 0.9:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Mictlán won against Marquense?
Mictlán has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marquense won against Mictlán?
Marquense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mictlán - Marquense were as follows:
08.11.2025
Mictlán
-
Marquense
1:1
06.09.2025
Marquense
-
Mictlán
1:0
Latest results of Mictlán
Latest results of Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Xelaju | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Coban Imperial | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Comunicaciones | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 24:22 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportivo Mixco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 | Municipal | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 22 |
| 6 | Antigua | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Mictlan | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Guastatoya | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Marquense | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Deportivo Achuapa | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11:18 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Aurora F.C | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 | Malacateco | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )
