Result
1:0
01/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | Claro Sports 2 Latin America, ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Estrada C. 🟨,
- 24', Jaen Y. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Casas D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Marquez R. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
- 59', 🟨,
- 72', Jaen Y. ↓, Cardoza E. ↑,
- 72', Tebalan W. ↓, Quezada Gamez H. E. ↑,
- 87', Flores D. ↓, Amaya W. ↑,
- 90+2', Escobar M. ↓, Elington E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Marquense
38.2% | Draw
29.1% | Xelajú
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marquense's form might have worsened.Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Xelajú's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Xelajú, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Marquense - Xelajú Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.09) |
3.14 ↑
(3.02) |
2.79 ↓
(3.44) |
9.6%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Marquense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Marquense might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marquense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Marquense won against Xelajú?
Marquense has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Xelajú won against Marquense?
Xelajú has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marquense - Xelajú were as follows:
15.02.2026
Xelajú
-
Marquense
4:2
05.11.2025
Marquense
-
Xelajú
1:0
31.08.2025
Xelajú
-
Marquense
3:1
20.04.2025
Marquense
-
Xelajú
1:0
16.02.2025
Xelajú
-
Marquense
0:0
Latest results of Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Comunicaciones | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 32 |
| 2 | Deportivo Mixco | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
| 3 | Xelaju | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Antigua | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Coban Imperial | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Municipal | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Marquense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Guastatoya | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:30 | -10 | 25 |
| 10 | Aurora F.C | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 19 |
| 11 | Deportivo Achuapa | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14:24 | -10 | 18 |
| 12 | Malacateco | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )
