Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 7
- Referee: Farrugia P. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Pepe E. 🟨,
- 38', Lacunza L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Cordova 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 88', 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Marsaxlokk
35.7% | Draw
34.2% | Birkirkara
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsaxlokk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Birkirkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Marsaxlokk - Birkirkara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.31) |
2.76 ↓
(3) |
3.14 ↓
(3.2) |
5.8%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Marsaxlokk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Marsaxlokk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Birkirkara?
Marsaxlokk has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birkirkara won against Marsaxlokk?
Birkirkara has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsaxlokk - Birkirkara were as follows:
27.04.2025
Birkirkara
-
Marsaxlokk
1:1
08.03.2025
Birkirkara
-
Marsaxlokk
1:1
29.08.2024
Marsaxlokk
-
Birkirkara
0:2
09.03.2024
Marsaxlokk
-
Birkirkara
0:0
04.11.2023
Birkirkara
-
Marsaxlokk
0:2
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Latest results of Birkirkara
Maltese Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Valletta | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Hamrun | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Hibernians | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Sliema | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Birkirkara | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Marsaxlokk | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Zabbar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Gzira | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 10 | Tarxien | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 11 | Naxxar | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Mosta | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )
