Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Top 6 - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Reid K. ⚽,
- 38', Cordova 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Micallef K. 🟨,
- 56', Corbalan J. C. ↓, Pena E. ↑,
- 63', Tank A. 🟨,
- 63', Cordova ↓, Cross N. ↑,
- 71', Cross N. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 1, Yuri Messias (Pen),
- 76', Papazov T. 🟥,
- 85', Yuri Messias ↓, Bonnici D. ↑,
- 85', Reid K. ↓, Gaitan P. ↑,
- 85', Lacunza L. ↓, Yikpe G. G. ↑,
- 90+1', Dodo ↓, Quitongo J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Birkirkara
22.4% | Draw
24.7% | Marsaxlokk
52.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birkirkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birkirkara's form might have worsened.Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marsaxlokk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birkirkara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marsaxlokk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Birkirkara - Marsaxlokk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.07 ↑
(3.06) |
3.69 ↑
(3.68) |
1.73 ↓
(2.03) |
9.6%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Birkirkara won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Birkirkara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Marsaxlokk have a series of guest games.
- Marsaxlokk will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Birkirkara won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Birkirkara won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Birkirkara won against Marsaxlokk?
Birkirkara has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Birkirkara?
Marsaxlokk has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birkirkara - Marsaxlokk were as follows:
08.03.2025
Birkirkara
-
Marsaxlokk
1:1
29.08.2024
Marsaxlokk
-
Birkirkara
0:2
09.03.2024
Marsaxlokk
-
Birkirkara
0:0
04.11.2023
Birkirkara
-
Marsaxlokk
0:2
05.03.2023
Birkirkara
-
Marsaxlokk
1:1
Latest results of Birkirkara
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Sliema | Birkirkara | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Floriana | Hamrun | 0 : 1 |
Final3rd place
