Result
0:1
31/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 19
- Referee: Tonna G. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Busuttil J. ↓, Dimech S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Minala J. 🟨,
- 56', Roni Santos 🟨,
- 58', Makoma D. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 1, Dodo ⚽,
- 71', Linden R. 🟨,
- 72', Garzia A. 🟨,
- 73', Dimech S. ↓, Fenech K. ↑,
- 77', Linden R. ↓, Simkus D. ↑,
- 78', Coppola A. 🟨,
- 81', Arias U. 🟨,
- 87', Bayo J. ↓, Acheampong G. ↑,
- 89', Dodo ↓, Kirby J. ↑,
- 90', Arias U. ↓, Attard E. ↑,
- 90', Muscat N. ↓, Ghio J. ↑,
- 90+6', Minala J. ↓, Vella J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Birkirkara
28.4% | Draw
28.1% | Marsaxlokk
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birkirkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marsaxlokk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-5%)
Birkirkara - Marsaxlokk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↑
(2.78) |
3.24 ↑
(3.12) |
2.09 ↓
(2.45) |
10.1%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Birkirkara - Marsaxlokk?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Birkirkara will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birkirkara won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Birkirkara won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Birkirkara won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Birkirkara won against Marsaxlokk?
Birkirkara has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Birkirkara?
Marsaxlokk has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birkirkara - Marsaxlokk were as follows:
11.01.2026
Marsaxlokk
-
Birkirkara
2:1
28.09.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Birkirkara
0:0
27.04.2025
Birkirkara
-
Marsaxlokk
1:1
08.03.2025
Birkirkara
-
Marsaxlokk
1:1
29.08.2024
Marsaxlokk
-
Birkirkara
0:2
Latest results of Birkirkara
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 12 | 20 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 14 |
| 4 | Gzira | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Naxxar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Valletta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:4 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Sliema | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 12 | Mosta | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:16 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
