Result
2:1
11/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - First stage - Top 6 - Round 16
- Referee: Barbara E. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,
- 45+1', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 🟨,
- 67', 🟨,
- 67', 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Marsaxlokk 41.5% | Draw 29.2% | Birkirkara 29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Marsaxlokk - Birkirkara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↓ (2.58) |
3.08 ↑ (2.88) |
3.07 ↑ (2.72) |
11% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 0.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Birkirkara?
Marsaxlokk has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birkirkara won against Marsaxlokk?
Birkirkara has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsaxlokk - Birkirkara were as follows:
28.09.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Birkirkara
0:0
27.04.2025
Birkirkara
-
Marsaxlokk
1:1
08.03.2025
Birkirkara
-
Marsaxlokk
1:1
29.08.2024
Marsaxlokk
-
Birkirkara
0:2
09.03.2024
Marsaxlokk
-
Birkirkara
0:0
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Latest results of Birkirkara
Maltese Premier League Table
First stage - Top 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hamrun | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26:10 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Floriana | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 33 |
| 3 | Valletta | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Sliema | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 26 |
| 5 | Marsaxlokk | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20:16 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Birkirkara | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15:22 | -7 | 16 |