Result
1:3
15/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Top 6 - Round 29
- Referee: De Gabriele M. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, Dodo ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Varela F. ⚽,
- 21', Spiteri O. 🟨,
- 38', Simkus D. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 2, Mbong P. ⚽,
- 45+1', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 3, Varela F. ⚽,
- 61', Linden R. ↓, Mihana R. ↑,
- 61', Christie-Davies I. ↓, Kirby J. ↑,
- 64', Areias R. ↓, Jah M. ↑,
- 74', Simkus D. ↓, Caruana T. ↑,
- 75', Kurtalic A. ↓, Dervisagic K. ↑,
- 75', Zammit Lonardelli C. ↓, Mabea K. ↑,
- 78', Muscat N. 🟨,
- 83', Arias U. ↓, Attard E. ↑,
- 85', M'Mombwa C. ↓, Antonio Lara ↑,
- 88', Mbong P. ↓, Scerri Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Marsaxlokk
25.1% | Draw
27.2% | Floriana
47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsaxlokk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Floriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Marsaxlokk - Floriana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↑
(3.15) |
3.35 ↑
(3.2) |
1.91 ↓
(2.08) |
9.9%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 0.
- In recent matches, Marsaxlokk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Floriana is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Floriana has had a series of away games.
- Floriana might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:24. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.7:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Floriana?
Marsaxlokk has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Floriana won against Marsaxlokk?
Floriana has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsaxlokk - Floriana were as follows:
18.02.2026
Floriana
-
Marsaxlokk
0:0
03.01.2026
Floriana
-
Marsaxlokk
1:0
23.11.2025
Floriana
-
Marsaxlokk
2:1
20.09.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Floriana
1:2
12.04.2025
Floriana
-
Marsaxlokk
2:1
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Latest results of Floriana
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Top 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 37 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25:9 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 28 |
| 4 | Valletta | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Gzira | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Naxxar | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 |
