Melita vs Marsaxlokk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:5
30/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 11
  • Referee: Farrugia P. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
311
Shots on target
18
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Total shots
311
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Barone G. 🟨,
  • 21', Lopez L. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Yuri Messias ,
  • 41', Van de Bovenkamp M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 46', Xuereb D. , Mohnani K. ,
  • 58', 0 - 2, Yuri Messias (Pen),
  • 65', Micallef K. 🟨,
  • 69', Corbalan J. C. , Adamec M. ,
  • 69', Scicluna R. , Pena E. ,
  • 73', 0 - 3, Tank A. ,
  • 74', Borg O. A. , Cachia M. ,
  • 74', Yepez J. , Nick Cutajar ,
  • 76', 0 - 4, Muscat N. ,
  • 77', Barone G. 🟨,
  • 78', Tank A. , Bonnici D. ,
  • 84', 0 - 5, Aguirre L. ,

Chances of winning


Melita
17.9%
Draw
24.1%
Marsaxlokk
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.1% 24.2% 56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4% 23.3% 59%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Melita - Marsaxlokk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.06
    (4.78)
    3.76
    (3.77)
    1.56
    (1.61)
    10.3%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Recently Marsaxlokk have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Marsaxlokk is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Melita won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Melita won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melita - Marsaxlokk were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Melita - Marsaxlokk 1:3
    24.08.2024 Marsaxlokk - Melita 1:2
    Latest results of Melita
    13.03.2025 Mosta - Melita 2:0
    01.03.2025 Balzan - Melita 1:1
    23.02.2025 Melita - Naxxar Lions 2:5
    16.02.2025 Melita - Hamrun Spartans 2:0
    Latest results of Marsaxlokk
    13.03.2025 Naxxar Lions - Marsaxlokk 1:0
    08.03.2025 Birkirkara - Marsaxlokk 1:1
    21.02.2025 Gżira United - Marsaxlokk 0:1
    14.02.2025 Mosta - Marsaxlokk 2:1
    Maltese Premier League Table
    Second stage - Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana862016:41220
    2Hamrun853011:11018
    3Marsaxlokk84228:9-114
    4Gzira841311:9213
    5Naxxar841317:16113
    6Valletta833211:4712
    7Sliema83327:8-112
    8Birkirkara832310:7311
    9Hibernians83149:13-410
    10Zabbar81256:10-45
    11Tarxien81166:16-104
    12Mosta80171:16-151

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
          Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )