Result
3:2
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Top 6 - Round 32
- Referee: Farrugia P. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Kirby J. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Kirby J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', El Hasni O. ↓, Weder ↑,
- 46', Vitinho ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
- 46', Theo Kruger ↓, Pahama N. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 1, Muscat N. ⚽,
- 69', Pace Cocks N. ↓, Kontchou C. ↑,
- 69', Rosiel ↓, Portelli O. ↑,
- 75', Kirby J. ↓, Caruana T. ↑,
- 75', Muscat N. ↓, Christie-Davies I. ↑,
- 85', Simkus D. ↓, Vella J. ↑,
- 85', Arias U. ↓, Attard E. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marsaxlokk
69.5% | Draw
17% | Naxxar Lions
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-3%)
Marsaxlokk - Naxxar Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.34) |
5.38 ↑
(4.61) |
6.74 ↓
(8.22) |
9.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 1.
- Marsaxlokk is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Naxxar's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Marsaxlokk has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Marsaxlokk is the team to beat.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Naxxar Lions?
Marsaxlokk has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naxxar Lions won against Marsaxlokk?
Naxxar Lions has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsaxlokk - Naxxar Lions were as follows:
08.03.2026
Marsaxlokk
-
Naxxar Lions
1:1
24.08.2025
Naxxar Lions
-
Marsaxlokk
0:1
13.03.2025
Naxxar Lions
-
Marsaxlokk
1:0
15.12.2024
Marsaxlokk
-
Naxxar Lions
1:1
27.10.2024
Naxxar Lions
-
Marsaxlokk
0:0
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Latest results of Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Top 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 37 |
| 2 | Marsaxlokk | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:20 | 2 | 31 |
| 3 | Hamrun | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26:11 | 15 | 28 |
| 4 | Valletta | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Gzira | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Naxxar | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 20 |
