Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 22
- Referee: Petrovic S. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', Pepe E. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Linden R. ⚽,
- 30', 2 - 0, Linden R. ⚽,
- 32', Kristensen B. ↓, Ellul M. ↑,
- 40', El Hasni O. 🟨,
- 45+5', Pedrao 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Debattista M. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
- 58', Aguirre L. 🟨,
- 59', 🟨,
- 67', Xuereb D. ↓, Attard C. ↑,
- 67', Lima M. ↓, Diakite ↑,
- 70', Linden R. ↓, Kirby J. ↑,
- 70', Dodo ↓, Christie-Davies I. ↑,
- 77', Halabaku K. ↓, Cleiton ↑,
- 79', Muscat N. ↓, Caruana T. ↑,
- 86', Corbalan J. C. ↓, Ghio J. ↑,
- 86', Arias U. ↓, Attard E. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Pedrao ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marsaxlokk
44.5% | Draw
28.1% | Paola Hibernians
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsaxlokk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marsaxlokk's form might have worsened.Paola Hibernians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marsaxlokk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paola Hibernians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Marsaxlokk - Paola Hibernians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.7) |
3.21 ↓
(3.7) |
3.3 ↓
(3.95) |
10.8%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 2.
- Marsaxlokk is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hibernians is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Hibernians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Marsaxlokk will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Paola Hibernians?
Marsaxlokk has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paola Hibernians won against Marsaxlokk?
Paola Hibernians has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsaxlokk - Paola Hibernians were as follows:
01.11.2025
Paola Hibernians
-
Marsaxlokk
2:2
26.01.2025
Paola Hibernians
-
Marsaxlokk
0:1
07.11.2024
Marsaxlokk
-
Paola Hibernians
1:1
27.04.2024
Paola Hibernians
-
Marsaxlokk
0:2
07.01.2024
Marsaxlokk
-
Paola Hibernians
1:1
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Latest results of Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana ✔ | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17:5 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Hamrun ✔ | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 | Gzira | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Naxxar | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Valletta | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | Sliema | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Zabbar ✔ | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Tarxien ✔ | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 5 |
| 12 | Mosta ✔ | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2:18 | -16 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Floriana is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )
Hamrun is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )
Zabbar is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
Tarxien is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
Mosta is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
