Żabbar St. Patrick vs Paola Hibernians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
30/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 32
  • Referee: Scerri J. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
514
Yellow cards
01
Total shots
97
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
33
Corner kicks
514

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Fontanella M. ,
  • 34', 2 - 0, Fontanella M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Diakite , Roe J. ,
  • 46', Cleiton , Hernandez R. ,
  • 53', 3 - 0, Majok A. ,
  • 70', Debattista M. , Muscat D. ,
  • 72', Leonardi Z. , Polidano Z. ,
  • 77', Scicluna R. , Cejas P. ,
  • 78', Fontanella M. , Mota L. ,
  • 81', Caruana L. , Degabriele J. ,
  • 81', Abela L. , Chukunyere I. ,
  • 87', Micallef J. , Forte M. ,
  • 87', Majok A. , Micallef L. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Żabbar St. Patrick
47.4%
Draw
25.2%
Paola Hibernians
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 27.2% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 26.4% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Żabbar St. Patrick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Żabbar St. Patrick's performance.
  • Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paola Hibernians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Żabbar St. Patrick that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paola Hibernians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Żabbar St. Patrick - Paola Hibernians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.88)
    3.61
    (3.3)
    3.32
    (2.15)
    9.9%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Żabbar St. Patrick - Paola Hibernians?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Żabbar will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Hibernians will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Żabbar (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Żabbar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Żabbar won 1.
    • Żabbar is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Hibernians has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Żabbar has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Żabbar won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 2.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Żabbar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Żabbar St. Patrick - Paola Hibernians were as follows:
    04.02.2026 Paola Hibernians - Żabbar St. Patrick 2:1
    18.12.2025 Paola Hibernians - Żabbar St. Patrick 3:3
    24.08.2025 Żabbar St. Patrick - Paola Hibernians 2:2
    01.05.2025 Żabbar St. Patrick - Paola Hibernians 2:2
    15.02.2025 Paola Hibernians - Żabbar St. Patrick 0:4
    Latest results of Żabbar St. Patrick
    Latest results of Paola Hibernians
    Maltese Premier League Table
    Second stage - Top 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana16114128:121637
    2Marsaxlokk1694322:20231
    3Hamrun1684426:111528
    4Valletta1666421:13824
    5Gzira1663717:17021
    6Naxxar1655623:26-320