Mārupe vs Ogre United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
08/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Nakotnes liga - Round 26

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Mashchenko V. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mashchenko V. , Jamonts K. ,
  • 49', Garais P. 🟨,
  • 57', Zarovs N. 🟨,
  • 61', Korsaks K. , Korzans R. ,
  • 61', Garais P. , Roga R. ,
  • 61', Zarovs N. , Sula M. ,
  • 63', Korolcuks R. 🟨,
  • 68', Stepanovs V. , Pacepko M. ,
  • 68', Silagailis H. , Sprukulis K. ,
  • 71', Salins D. 🟨,
  • 74', Silagailis H. 🟨,
  • 84', Kirilins A. , Sadovnikovs R. ,
  • 84', Komorovskis K. , Silins M. ,
  • 86', Kalnins M. , Licis K. ,
  • 86', Strauss G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Mamich D. , Juhnovics R. ,
  • 90+4', Pacepko M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Korolcuks R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mārupe
15.2%
Draw
19.4%
Ogre United
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.3% 18.6% 66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15% 18.2% 67.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Ogre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Mārupe - Ogre United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.98
    (5.9)
    4.69
    (4.85)
    1.4
    (1.36)
    9.8%
    (11.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: )).
    • Mārupe has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ogre United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Ogre United has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ogre United is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mārupe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mārupe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mārupe - Ogre United were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Ogre United - Mārupe 3:1
    26.10.2024 Ogre United - Mārupe 3:0
    06.07.2024 Mārupe - Ogre United 3:2
    Latest results of Mārupe
    01.11.2025 JFK Ventspils - Mārupe 1:0
    25.10.2025 Mārupe - Olaine 5:1
    05.10.2025 Rēzekne - Mārupe 2:1
    28.09.2025 Mārupe - Skanstes 0:1
    20.09.2025 Riga 2 - Mārupe 1:0
    Latest results of Ogre United
    01.11.2025 Ogre United - Skanstes 3:0
    25.10.2025 Riga 2 - Ogre United 2:1
    18.10.2025 Ogre United - JDFS Alberts 1:1
    27.09.2025 Ogre United - Smiltene 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1GrobinaAlberts JDFS1 : 0, 0 : 0