Result
3:1
18/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 58', 🟨,
- 74', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 85', 🟨,
- 86', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ogre United
68.6% | Draw
18.8% | Mārupe
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ogre United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ogre United's performance.Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mārupe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ogre United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mārupe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ogre United - Mārupe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.63) |
4.76 ↑
(4.03) |
7.08 ↑
(4.07) |
11.8%
(10.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 6)
- Ogre United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mārupe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mārupe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ogre United has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ogre United is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ogre United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Ogre United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ogre United won against Mārupe?
Ogre United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mārupe won against Ogre United?
Mārupe has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ogre United - Mārupe were as follows:
26.10.2024
Ogre United
-
Mārupe
3:0
06.07.2024
Mārupe
-
Ogre United
3:2
Latest results of Ogre United
Latvian 1 Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga Mariners | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 52:21 | 31 | 42 |
| 2 | Ogre United | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 53:17 | 36 | 41 |
| 3 | Alberts JDFS | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 41:17 | 24 | 39 |
| 4 | JFK Ventspils | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 32:16 | 16 | 37 |
| 5 | RFS 2 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 34:20 | 14 | 32 |
| 6 | Skanste | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 26 |
| 7 | Marupe | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
| 8 | Leevon PPK | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 24 |
| 9 | FK Smiltene | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 22 |
| 10 | Rezekne | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:39 | -19 | 21 |
| 11 | Tukums 2000 2 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 23:41 | -18 | 13 |
| 12 | Augsdaugavas | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15:35 | -20 | 13 |
| 13 | AFA Olaine | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 22:63 | -41 | 9 |
| 14 | Riga FC 2 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15:35 | -20 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Virsliga
Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: )
Nakotnes liga (Relegation)
Relegation
