Result
2:1
22/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 9
- Referee: Jasur M. (Uzb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Uzbekistan | Futbol TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Akramov Z. 🟨,
- 45+1', Muzaffarov N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', Shamsiev B. 🟨,
- 60', 0 - 1, Ochilov S. ⚽,
- 62', Abdullazhonov S. ↓, Friday R. ↑,
- 62', Ashuboyev T. ↓, Uktamov B. ↑,
- 65', Muzaffarov N. ↓, Ganikhonov I. ↑,
- 65', Chidi A. ↓, Abduraymov S. ↑,
- 71', Abdukhamidov S. ↓, Yusupov K. ↑,
- 71', Tursunov D. ↓, Karimov A. ↑,
- 80', Abubakar R. ↓, Nuriddinov N. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Chinedu S. ⚽,
- 88', Karimov A. 🟨,
- 89', Abduraymov S. 🟨,
- 90', Akramov Z. ↓, Valijonov M. ↑,
- 90', Juraev J. ↓, Musaxonov M. ↑,
- 90', Murtazoev K. ↓, Ayagwa R. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Yusupov K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Surkhon Termez
54.9% | Draw
26.8% | Mashal Mubarek
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Surkhon Termez's form might have worsened.Mashal Mubarek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Surkhon Termez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mashal Mubarek than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Surkhon Termez - Mashal Mubarek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.49) |
3.41 ↓
(3.86) |
5.03 ↓
(6.42) |
9.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 2.
- Surkhon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mashal has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Surkhon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Surkhon is the clear favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Surkhon won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Surkhon Termez won against Mashal Mubarek?
Surkhon Termez has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mashal Mubarek won against Surkhon Termez?
Mashal Mubarek has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Surkhon Termez - Mashal Mubarek were as follows:
18.09.2025
Surkhon Termez
-
Mashal Mubarek
0:0
26.04.2025
Mashal Mubarek
-
Surkhon Termez
0:0
Latest results of Surkhon Termez
Latest results of Mashal Mubarek
Uzbek League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:3 | 22 | 27 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Navbahor Namangan | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | OKMK | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Lok. Tashkent | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Andijan | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Xorazm Urganch | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Din. Samarkand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Termez Surkhon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | Sogdiana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4:21 | -17 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
