Result
0:1
02/05/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Primera - Clausura - Winners - Semi-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 1, Moncada J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Matagalpa 25.9% | Draw 26.3% | Diriangén 47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matagalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matagalpa's performance.Diriangén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diriangén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matagalpa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diriangén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Matagalpa - Diriangén Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.57 ↓ (4.33) |
3.43 ↓ (3.8) |
1.9 ↑ (1.62) |
9.8% (11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 0.
- Matagalpa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Diriangén is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Diriangén may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Diriangén is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:52. (average 0.9:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Matagalpa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:25. (average 1.2:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Matagalpa won against Diriangén?
Matagalpa has won 0 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diriangén won against Matagalpa?
Diriangén has won 13 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matagalpa - Diriangén were as follows:
08.04.2026
Matagalpa
-
Diriangén
2:3
07.02.2026
Diriangén
-
Matagalpa
1:1
22.10.2025
Diriangén
-
Matagalpa
2:2
09.08.2025
Matagalpa
-
Diriangén
0:2
04.05.2025
Diriangén
-
Matagalpa
2:0
Latest results of Matagalpa
Latest results of Diriangén
Draw
Clausura - WinnersQuarter-finals| 1 | Diriangen (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Managua FC (4) | Matagalpa (5) | 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Esteli (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Jalapa (3) | Ferretti (6) | 3 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Diriangen (1) | Matagalpa (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Esteli (2) | Jalapa (3) | 0 : 0 |