Matagalpa vs Diriangén – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
02/05/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Primera - Clausura - Winners - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 0 - 1, Moncada J. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Matagalpa
25.9%
Draw
26.3%
Diriangén
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.8% 23.7% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9% 22.7% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matagalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matagalpa's performance.
  • Diriangén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diriangén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matagalpa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diriangén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Matagalpa - Diriangén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.57
    (4.33)
    3.43
    (3.8)
    1.9
    (1.62)
    9.8%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 0.
    • Matagalpa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Diriangén is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Diriangén may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Diriangén is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:52. (average 0.9:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Matagalpa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:25. (average 1.2:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matagalpa - Diriangén were as follows:
    08.04.2026 Matagalpa - Diriangén 2:3
    07.02.2026 Diriangén - Matagalpa 1:1
    22.10.2025 Diriangén - Matagalpa 2:2
    09.08.2025 Matagalpa - Diriangén 0:2
    04.05.2025 Diriangén - Matagalpa 2:0
    Latest results of Matagalpa
    29.04.2026 Managua - Matagalpa 2:4
    25.04.2026 Real Estelí - Matagalpa 0:0
    15.04.2026 Matagalpa - Managua 1:2
    Latest results of Diriangén
    25.04.2026 Managua - Diriangén 4:1
    19.04.2026 Diriangén - Real Madriz 5:0
    16.04.2026 Sport Sébaco - Diriangén 0:2
    11.04.2026 Diriangén - Real Estelí 1:0
    08.04.2026 Matagalpa - Diriangén 2:3
    Draw
    Clausura - Winners

    Quarter-finals
    1Diriangen (1)Bye
    2Managua FC (4)Matagalpa (5)2 : 4
    3Esteli (2)Bye
    4Jalapa (3)Ferretti (6)3 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Diriangen (1)Matagalpa (5)1 : 0
    2Esteli (2)Jalapa (3)0 : 0