Result
1:1
22/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN App |
 Ecuador | DAZN App |
 Mexico | DAZN App |
 Nicaragua | Campeones, NicaSports |
 Paraguay | DAZN App |
 Peru | DAZN App |
 Uruguay | DAZN App |
 Venezuela | DAZN App |
 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Matagalpa
22% | Draw
26.2% | Real Estelí
51.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matagalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Real Estelí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Matagalpa - Real Estelí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.18 ↓
(4.47) |
3.47 ↓
(3.56) |
1.76 ↑
(1.69) |
9.4%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 2.
- Recent performances by Matagalpa have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Real Estelí is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Real Estelí is the team to beat.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Matagalpa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Matagalpa won against Real Estelí?
Matagalpa has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Estelí won against Matagalpa?
Real Estelí has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matagalpa - Real Estelí were as follows:
23.11.2025
Matagalpa
-
Real Estelí
1:0
13.09.2025
Real Estelí
-
Matagalpa
2:1
25.01.2025
Real Estelí
-
Matagalpa
2:0
27.10.2024
Matagalpa
-
Real Estelí
4:1
17.08.2024
Real Estelí
-
Matagalpa
1:1
Latest results of Matagalpa
Latest results of Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Esteli | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 28:10 | 18 | 24 |
| 2 | Diriangen | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22:10 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Jalapa | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Matagalpa | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Managua FC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Sport Sebaco | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | UNAN-Managua | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 12 |
| 8 | Ferretti | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 12 |
| 9 | Rancho Santana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:31 | -17 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Madriz | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:20 | -14 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)
