Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Claro Sports |
 Nicaragua | NicaSports |
 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Bonilla B. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, Velasquez A. G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 1, Moldskred M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Estelí
68.6% | Draw
19.9% | Matagalpa
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Matagalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Real Estelí - Matagalpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.37) |
4.67 ↓
(4.75) |
8.05 ↑
(7.95) |
7.7%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Estelí won 1.
- Real Estelí is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Matagalpa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Real Estelí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Real Estelí has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Real Estelí is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Real Estelí won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Estelí won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Estelí won against Matagalpa?
Real Estelí has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matagalpa won against Real Estelí?
Matagalpa has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Estelí - Matagalpa were as follows:
25.01.2025
Real Estelí
-
Matagalpa
2:0
27.10.2024
Matagalpa
-
Real Estelí
4:1
17.08.2024
Real Estelí
-
Matagalpa
1:1
14.03.2024
Matagalpa
-
Real Estelí
0:0
24.11.2023
Matagalpa
-
Real Estelí
1:1
Latest results of Real Estelí
Latest results of Matagalpa
Nicaraguan Liga Primera Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Esteli | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Sebaco | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Diriangen | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 21 |
| 4 | Managua FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Ferretti | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | Jalapa | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 18:23 | -5 | 13 |
| 7 | Matagalpa | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 8 | Rancho Santana | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:30 | -17 | 10 |
| 9 | UNAN-Managua | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Madriz | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12:27 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)
