Result
0:2
08/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 56% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 74% (26/35) | 64% (25/39) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 39% (12/31) | 77% (24/31) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 2/5 | 3/4 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 36% (14/39) | 26% (9/35) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 61% (19/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 1/4 | 3/5 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 40 | 22 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 50% (1/2) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (38/66) | 70% (49/70) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (21/70) | 42% (28/66) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (59/136) | 57% (77/136) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 33% (3/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Matias Soto
38.6% | Stefano Napolitano
61.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matias Soto's form might have worsened.Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Napolitano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Matias Soto - Stefano Napolitano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.09) |
|
1.53 ↓
(1.65) |
6.9%
(8.5%) | |
Preview Facts
- Soto is ranked ATP: 304. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 302.
- Soto has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Napolitano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Soto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Napolitano might have a minor edge in this game.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Matias Soto won against Stefano Napolitano?
Matias Soto has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stefano Napolitano won against Matias Soto?
Stefano Napolitano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matias Soto - Stefano Napolitano were as follows:
Latest results of Matias Soto
Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
