Matias Soto vs Valerio Aboian – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Concepcion Challenger Men Matias Soto - Valerio Aboian
Result
2:1
27/03/2025 at 12:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Concepcion, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
38
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
65%51%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (42/59)62% (31/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (19/32)60% (29/48)
Break Points Saved
78% (7/9)57% (4/7)
1st Return Points Won
38% (19/50)29% (17/59)
2nd Return Points Won
40% (19/48)41% (13/32)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)22% (2/9)
Service Points Won
67% (61/91)61% (60/98)
Return Points Won
39% (38/98)33% (30/91)
Total Points Won
52% (99/189)48% (90/189)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
86% (12/14)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)14% (2/14)
Total Games Won
54% (15/28)46% (13/28)

Chances of winning


Matias Soto
58.2%
Valerio Aboian
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matias Soto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valerio Aboian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matias Soto - Valerio Aboian Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.49)

    2.22
    (2.52)
    7.2%
    (6.8%)
    What is the prediction for Matias Soto - Valerio Aboian?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Aboian will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Soto is ranked ATP: 244. Aboian is ranked ATP: 483.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Aboian could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Soto will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Soto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matias Soto - Valerio Aboian were as follows:
    14.12.2023 Matias Soto - Valerio Aboian 1:2
    Latest results of Matias Soto
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mochizuki Y. (LL)Justo G. I.0 : 2
    2Villalon N. (WC)Olivo R.0 : 2
    3Casanova H.Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    4Kicker N. (Q)Vallejo D. (6)2 : 0
    5Burruchaga R. A. (3)Torres J. B.2 : 0
    6Huertas Del Pino C. (Q)Orlov V. (Q)2 : 0
    7Soto M.Nesterov P.2 : 0
    8Aboian V.Mena F. (5)2 : 1
    9Nava E. (8)Dutra Da Silva D.2 : 0
    10Bueno G.Dedura-Palomero D. (WC)2 : 0
    11Couacaud E.Boscardin Dias P. (Q)1 : 2
    12Reis Da Silva J.Barrios Vera T. (4)2 : 0
    13Collarini A. (7)Pereira J.2 : 0
    14Villanueva G. (Alt)Olivieri G. A.0 : 2
    15Guillen Meza A.Pucinelli de Almeida M.0 : 2
    16Bertola R.Galan D. E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Justo G. I.Olivo R.2 : 0
    2Varillas J. P.Kicker N.0 : 2
    3Burruchaga R. A. (3)Huertas Del Pino C.2 : 1
    4Soto M.Aboian V.2 : 1
    5Nava E. (8)Bueno G.2 : 0
    6Boscardin Dias P.Reis Da Silva J.1 : 2
    7Collarini A. (7)Olivieri G. A.1 : 2
    8Pucinelli de Almeida M.Galan D. E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Justo G. I.Kicker N.1 : 2
    2Burruchaga R. A. (3)Soto M.0 : 2
    3Nava E. (8)Reis Da Silva J.2 : 0
    4Olivieri G. A.Galan D. E. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Kicker N.Soto M.2 : 1
    2Nava E. (8)Olivieri G. A.2 : 0

    Final
    1Kicker N.Nava E. (8)0 : 2