Nagano Parceiro vs Matsumoto Yamaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga
Result
1:0
19/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
126
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
75
Goalkeeper Saves
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Shin K. , Ando K. (A),
  • 13', Ono Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Hasegawa Y. 🟨,
  • 58', Higuchi D. , Mawatari K. ,
  • 58', Yamamoto K. , Kawakami K. ,
  • 58', Yasunaga R. , Fujieda K. ,
  • 66', Mawatari K. 🟨,
  • 67', Yamanaka R. , Thales ,
  • 67', Ando K. , Tanaka K. ,
  • 76', Murakoshi K. , Taki Y. ,
  • 77', Thales 🟨,
  • 82', Fujikawa K. , Ito K. ,
  • 82', Shin K. , Fujimori R. ,
  • 86', Hasegawa Y. , Kato K. ,
  • 87', Ogawa D. , Saso K. ,

Chances of winning


Nagano Parceiro
34.5%
Draw
29.7%
Matsumoto Yamaga
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 28.9% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 28.4% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.6)
    3.27
    (3.2)
    2.71
    (2.6)
    2.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro 2:2
    05.10.2024 Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga 1:1
    29.06.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro 1:1
    15.10.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro 1:0
    13.05.2023 Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga 2:1
    Latest results of Nagano Parceiro
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure22144431:151646
    2Osaka22135435:161944
    3Tochigi City22135433:201344
    4Kagoshima Utd22108437:251238
    5Tegevajaro Miyazaki2298528:23535
    6Nara Club2297629:25434
    7Giravanz Kitakyushu22103925:23233
    8Kochi United2287733:36-331
    9Yamaga2285925:27-229
    10Gainare Tottori22841022:25-328
    11Sagamihara2269723:27-427
    12Fukushima Utd2276935:47-1227
    13Ryukyu22751022:25-326
    14Kanazawa22751023:27-426
    15Tochigi SC22751017:21-426
    16Kusatsu2259830:34-424
    17Nagano22661017:25-824
    18Kamatamare22551221:28-720
    19Gifu22471124:36-1219
    20Azul Claro Numazu22391022:27-518

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