Nagano Parceiro vs Matsumoto Yamaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga
Result
1:0
19/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
126
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
75
Goalkeeper Saves
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Shin K. , Ando K. (A),
  • 13', Ono Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Hasegawa Y. 🟨,
  • 58', Higuchi D. , Mawatari K. ,
  • 58', Yamamoto K. , Kawakami K. ,
  • 58', Yasunaga R. , Fujieda K. ,
  • 66', Mawatari K. 🟨,
  • 67', Yamanaka R. , Thales ,
  • 67', Ando K. , Tanaka K. ,
  • 76', Murakoshi K. , Taki Y. ,
  • 77', Thales 🟨,
  • 82', Fujikawa K. , Ito K. ,
  • 82', Shin K. , Fujimori R. ,
  • 86', Hasegawa Y. , Kato K. ,
  • 87', Ogawa D. , Saso K. ,

Chances of winning


Nagano Parceiro
34.5%
Draw
29.7%
Matsumoto Yamaga
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 28.9% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 28.4% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.6)
    3.27
    (3.2)
    2.71
    (2.6)
    2.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro 2:2
    05.10.2024 Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga 1:1
    29.06.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro 1:1
    15.10.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro 1:0
    13.05.2023 Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga 2:1
    Latest results of Nagano Parceiro
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure30196537:172063
    2Tochigi City30186651:312060
    3Kagoshima Utd30159656:322454
    4Tegevajaro Miyazaki30158747:351253
    5Osaka30157841:281352
    6Nara Club30139841:33848
    7Giravanz Kitakyushu301341331:29243
    8Tochigi SC301271131:29243
    9Kanazawa291251236:35141
    10Fukushima Utd301181149:59-1041
    11Gifu301081238:42-438
    12Sagamihara309101129:40-1137
    13Yamaga29991131:33-236
    14Gainare Tottori301061429:34-536
    15Ryukyu30971431:40-934
    16Kochi United30971437:51-1434
    17Nagano30781526:42-1629
    18Kusatsu306101439:48-928
    19Kamatamare30771635:47-1228
    20Azul Claro Numazu30591632:42-1024

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