Result
1:0
19/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Shin K. ⚽, Ando K. (A),
- 13', Ono Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Hasegawa Y. 🟨,
- 58', Higuchi D. ↓, Mawatari K. ↑,
- 58', Yamamoto K. ↓, Kawakami K. ↑,
- 58', Yasunaga R. ↓, Fujieda K. ↑,
- 66', Mawatari K. 🟨,
- 67', Yamanaka R. ↓, Thales ↑,
- 67', Ando K. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
- 76', Murakoshi K. ↓, Taki Y. ↑,
- 77', Thales 🟨,
- 82', Fujikawa K. ↓, Ito K. ↑,
- 82', Shin K. ↓, Fujimori R. ↑,
- 86', Hasegawa Y. ↓, Kato K. ↑,
- 87', Ogawa D. ↓, Saso K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nagano Parceiro
34.5% | Draw
29.7% | Matsumoto Yamaga
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↑
(2.6) |
3.27 ↑
(3.2) |
2.71 ↑
(2.6) |
2.9%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagano Parceiro won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Nagano Parceiro has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Nagano Parceiro?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga were as follows:
14.05.2025
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Nagano Parceiro
2:2
05.10.2024
Nagano Parceiro
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
1:1
29.06.2024
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Nagano Parceiro
1:1
15.10.2023
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Nagano Parceiro
1:0
13.05.2023
Nagano Parceiro
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
2:1
Latest results of Nagano Parceiro
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 33:16 | 17 | 50 |
| 2 | Osaka | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 36:19 | 17 | 45 |
| 3 | Tochigi City | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 36:24 | 12 | 45 |
| 4 | Kagoshima Utd | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 46:25 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 33:26 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 40 |
| 7 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 25:25 | 0 | 33 |
| 8 | Gainare Tottori | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | Tochigi SC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Yamaga | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Kochi United | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:40 | -7 | 31 |
| 12 | Fukushima Utd | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 31 |
| 13 | Sagamihara | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Kanazawa | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 29 |
| 15 | Ryukyu | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Kusatsu | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 27 |
| 17 | Nagano | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 24 |
| 18 | Kamatamare | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 23:30 | -7 | 22 |
| 19 | Gifu | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 20 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 25:32 | -7 | 18 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
