Result
1:2 penalties
29/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', Ogawa D. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Ninomiya J. ⚽, Murakoshi K. (A),
- 45+1', Aida Y. ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Kato D. 🟨,
- 62', Kawai T. ↓, Gustavo Silva ↑,
- 62', Kato D. ↓, Masuda S. ↑,
- 75', Murakoshi K. ↓, Sawazaki R. ↑,
- 77', Tameda H. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
- 77', Fujiwara K. ↓, Inoue S. ↑,
- 81', Saso K. ↓, Higuchi D. ↑,
- 82', Tanaka S. ↓, Fujieda K. ↑,
- 88', Ogawa D. ↓, Oda I. ↑,
- 88', Ohashi H. ↓, Fukazawa Y. ↑,
- 90+9', 1 - 1, Sumi K. (Penalty Awarded),
- Penalties (5 - 6)
- 1, Sawazaki R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Gustavo Silva (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Oda I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Inoue S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Kaneko K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Uemura H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Fujieda K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Kawasaki I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Fukazawa Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Sato R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Higuchi D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Sumi K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Shirai T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Yoshimura R. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Matsumoto Yamaga
35.3% | Draw
29.8% | Júbilo Iwata
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Matsumoto Yamaga - Júbilo Iwata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6
(2.6) |
3.08 ↓
(3.2) |
2.63 ↑
(2.6) |
9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1.
- Matsumoto Yamaga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Iwata is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Iwata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Júbilo Iwata?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Júbilo Iwata won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Júbilo Iwata has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Júbilo Iwata were as follows:
21.02.2026
Júbilo Iwata
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
1:2
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Latest results of Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30:7 | 35 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 25:12 | 28 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 13 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22:22 | 19 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25:22 | 17 |
| 6 | Montedio Yamagata | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Vanraure | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 20:25 | 14 |
| 9 | Kusatsu | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16:32 | 13 |
| 10 | Tochigi City | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14:30 | 12 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kofu | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:9 | 26 |
| 2 | Iwaki | 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Gifu | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 24 |
| 4 | Fujieda MYFC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 22 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 28:20 | 21 |
| 6 | Yamaga | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 25:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16:18 | 19 |
| 8 | Iwata | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19:32 | 11 |
| 10 | Nagano | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11:30 | 9 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Toyama | 13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 33:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Tokushima | 13 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 32:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21:19 | 25 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 22 |
| 5 | Kanazawa | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | 20 |
| 6 | Ehime | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Osaka | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 8 | Imabari | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Kamatamare | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Nara Club | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16:28 | 12 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 13 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:7 | 36 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 4 | Sagan Tosu | 13 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Oita Trinita | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Gainare Tottori | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:16 | 14 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 13 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )
