Matsumoto Yamaga vs Tochigi City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi City
Result
0:1
20/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
76
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
712
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
46
Corner Kicks
76
Goalkeeper Saves
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Hiraoka M. 🟨,
  • 57', Saso K. , Murakoshi K. ,
  • 59', Hiraoka M. , Utaka P. ,
  • 59', Suzuki R. , Suzuki K. ,
  • 63', 0 - 1, Tanaka P. J. ,
  • 66', Tanaka S. , Asakawa H. ,
  • 66', Yamamoto K. , Yasunaga R. ,
  • 74', Tanaka P. J. , Mori T. ,
  • 77', Ogawa D. , Homma J. ,
  • 90+1', Sekino G. , Utsugi S. ,
  • 90+1', Tosa R. , Kato Jo ,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
34.3%
Draw
27.6%
Tochigi City
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 27% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 27.8% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matsumoto Yamaga's form might have worsened.
  • Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tochigi City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matsumoto Yamaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.23)
    3.31
    (3.35)
    2.39
    (2.8)
    9.8%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Latest results of Tochigi City
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure22144431:151646
    2Osaka22135435:161944
    3Tochigi City22135433:201344
    4Kagoshima Utd22108437:251238
    5Tegevajaro Miyazaki2298528:23535
    6Nara Club2297629:25434
    7Giravanz Kitakyushu22103925:23233
    8Kochi United2287733:36-331
    9Yamaga2285925:27-229
    10Gainare Tottori22841022:25-328
    11Sagamihara2269723:27-427
    12Fukushima Utd2276935:47-1227
    13Ryukyu22751022:25-326
    14Kanazawa22751023:27-426
    15Tochigi SC22751017:21-426
    16Kusatsu2259830:34-424
    17Nagano22661017:25-824
    18Kamatamare22551221:28-720
    19Gifu22471124:36-1219
    20Azul Claro Numazu22391022:27-518

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation