Matsumoto Yamaga vs Tochigi City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi City
Result
0:1
20/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
76
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
712
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
46
Corner Kicks
76
Goalkeeper Saves
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Hiraoka M. 🟨,
  • 57', Saso K. , Murakoshi K. ,
  • 59', Hiraoka M. , Utaka P. ,
  • 59', Suzuki R. , Suzuki K. ,
  • 63', 0 - 1, Tanaka P. J. ,
  • 66', Tanaka S. , Asakawa H. ,
  • 66', Yamamoto K. , Yasunaga R. ,
  • 74', Tanaka P. J. , Mori T. ,
  • 77', Ogawa D. , Homma J. ,
  • 90+1', Sekino G. , Utsugi S. ,
  • 90+1', Tosa R. , Kato Jo ,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
34.3%
Draw
27.6%
Tochigi City
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 27% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 27.8% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matsumoto Yamaga's form might have worsened.
  • Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tochigi City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matsumoto Yamaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.23)
    3.31
    (3.35)
    2.39
    (2.8)
    9.8%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Latest results of Tochigi City
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure24155433:161750
    2Osaka24136536:191745
    3Tochigi City24136536:241245
    4Kagoshima Utd24128446:252144
    5Tegevajaro Miyazaki24118533:26741
    6Nara Club24117633:25840
    7Giravanz Kitakyushu241031125:25033
    8Gainare Tottori24951023:25-232
    9Tochigi SC24951021:23-232
    10Yamaga2487926:28-231
    11Kochi United2487933:40-731
    12Fukushima Utd2487939:49-1031
    13Sagamihara2479824:30-630
    14Kanazawa24851127:31-429
    15Ryukyu24771024:27-328
    16Kusatsu2469932:35-327
    17Nagano24661217:32-1524
    18Kamatamare24571223:30-722
    19Gifu24481225:39-1420
    20Azul Claro Numazu24391225:32-718

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation