Tochigi City vs Matsumoto Yamaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Tochigi City - Matsumoto Yamaga
Result
3:2
06/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
92
Corner Kicks
74
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
146
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
74
Goalkeeper Saves
06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Kikui Y. ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Hiraoka M. , Kato J. (A),
  • 22', 2 - 1, Vasquez B. ,
  • 27', 2 - 2, Nonomura T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nonomura T. , Sugita H. ,
  • 50', Sugita H. 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 2, Okaniwa Y. ,
  • 63', Ogawa D. , Yamamoto R. ,
  • 63', Yamamoto K. , Yasunaga R. ,
  • 70', Murakoshi K. , Tanaka S. ,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 77', Takahashi S. 🟨,
  • 86', Hayashi M. , Fujieda K. ,
  • 86', Okaniwa Y. , Tosa R. ,
  • 86', Kato J. , Mori T. ,
  • 90+1', Kikui Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tochigi City
52.1%
Draw
25.2%
Matsumoto Yamaga
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 24.6% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 25.3% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Tochigi City - Matsumoto Yamaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.67)
    3.62
    (3.72)
    4.02
    (4.48)
    9.6%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Tochigi City - Matsumoto Yamaga?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tochigi City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 11).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Tochigi City is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tochigi City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tochigi City - Matsumoto Yamaga were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi City 0:1
    Latest results of Tochigi City
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure33216643:182569
    2Tochigi City33207656:322467
    3Kagoshima Utd331710663:352861
    4Osaka33177946:301658
    5Tegevajaro Miyazaki32169752:371557
    6Kanazawa331651245:37853
    7Nara Club331491043:38551
    8Giravanz Kitakyushu331551338:32650
    9Tochigi SC331471233:31249
    10Fukushima Utd331281351:62-1144
    11Sagamihara3311101232:42-1043
    12Gifu331181443:50-741
    13Gainare Tottori331161633:42-939
    14Ryukyu331071634:46-1237
    15Yamaga32991432:37-536
    16Nagano33981629:45-1635
    17Kochi United33971739:57-1834
    18Kusatsu337101642:54-1231
    19Kamatamare33871838:53-1531
    20Azul Claro Numazu33591935:49-1424

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation