Tochigi City vs Matsumoto Yamaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Tochigi City - Matsumoto Yamaga
Result
3:2
06/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
92
Corner Kicks
74
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
146
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
74
Goalkeeper Saves
06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Kikui Y. ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Hiraoka M. , Kato J. (A),
  • 22', 2 - 1, Vasquez B. ,
  • 27', 2 - 2, Nonomura T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nonomura T. , Sugita H. ,
  • 50', Sugita H. 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 2, Okaniwa Y. ,
  • 63', Ogawa D. , Yamamoto R. ,
  • 63', Yamamoto K. , Yasunaga R. ,
  • 70', Murakoshi K. , Tanaka S. ,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 77', Takahashi S. 🟨,
  • 86', Hayashi M. , Fujieda K. ,
  • 86', Okaniwa Y. , Tosa R. ,
  • 86', Kato J. , Mori T. ,
  • 90+1', Kikui Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tochigi City
52.1%
Draw
25.2%
Matsumoto Yamaga
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 24.6% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 25.3% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Tochigi City - Matsumoto Yamaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.67)
    3.62
    (3.72)
    4.02
    (4.48)
    9.6%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Tochigi City - Matsumoto Yamaga?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tochigi City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 11).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Tochigi City is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tochigi City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tochigi City - Matsumoto Yamaga were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi City 0:1
    Latest results of Tochigi City
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure30196537:172063
    2Tochigi City30186651:312060
    3Kagoshima Utd30159656:322454
    4Tegevajaro Miyazaki30158747:351253
    5Osaka30157841:281352
    6Nara Club30139841:33848
    7Giravanz Kitakyushu301341331:29243
    8Tochigi SC301271131:29243
    9Kanazawa291251236:35141
    10Fukushima Utd301181149:59-1041
    11Gifu301081238:42-438
    12Sagamihara309101129:40-1137
    13Yamaga29991131:33-236
    14Gainare Tottori301061429:34-536
    15Ryukyu30971431:40-934
    16Kochi United30971437:51-1434
    17Nagano30781526:42-1629
    18Kusatsu306101439:48-928
    19Kamatamare30771635:47-1228
    20Azul Claro Numazu30591632:42-1024

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation