Christian Garin vs Matteo Arnaldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
06/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
32
1st serve percentage
62%53%
1st serve points won
68% (25/37)52% (14/27)
2nd serve points won
39% (9/23)38% (9/24)
Break Points Saved
1/45/11
1st return points won
48% (13/27)35% (13/37)
2nd return points won
63% (15/24)61% (14/23)
Break Points Converted
6/113/4
Winners
1614
Unforced errors
1928
Net points won
85% (11/13)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
57% (34/60)45% (23/51)
Return Points Won
55% (28/51)43% (26/60)
Total Points Won
56% (62/111)44% (49/111)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (6/9)33% (3/9)
Return games won
67% (6/9)33% (3/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Christian Garin
58.7%
Matteo Arnaldi
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Christian Garin - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.67)

    2.31
    (2.12)
    4.6%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Christian Garin - Matteo Arnaldi?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Garin: 40%93.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Christian Garin will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Garin is ranked ATP: 100. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 107.
    • Garin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Garin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Garin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Christian Garin - Matteo Arnaldi were as follows:
    15.09.2023 Matteo Arnaldi - Christian Garin 2:1
    Latest results of Christian Garin
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Mensik J.Marozsan F.
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Medvedev D. (7)TBD #18
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2