Result
0:2
22/05/2025 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 68% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (31/47) | 64% (25/39) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 78% (14/18) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (14/39) | 34% (16/47) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 57% (12/21) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 33% (3/9) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 80% (8/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (42/72) | 68% (39/57) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (18/57) | 42% (30/72) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (60/129) | 53% (69/129) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 30% (3/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 60% (12/20) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
26.6% | Novak Djokovic
73.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Arnaldi's form might have worsened.Novak Djokovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novak Djokovic's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novak Djokovic than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novak Djokovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Matteo Arnaldi - Novak Djokovic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.54 ↑
(2.85) |
|
1.29 ↓
(1.43) |
5.6%
(5%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Novak Djokovic?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Djokovic will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djokovic: 64.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Novak Djokovic will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 39. Djokovic is ranked ATP: 6.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Arnaldi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Djokovic is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arnaldi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Novak Djokovic?
Matteo Arnaldi has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novak Djokovic won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Novak Djokovic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Novak Djokovic were as follows:
26.04.2025
Matteo Arnaldi
-
Novak Djokovic
2:0
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Novak Djokovic
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Munar J. | Halys Q. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Rinderknech A. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Cazaux A. (WC) | Hurkacz H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Khachanov K. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Nishikori K. | Tien L. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ofner S. (Q) | Gakhov I. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Borges N. | Michelsen A. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Popyrin A. (5) | Jarry N. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Lajovic D. (WC) | Fearnley J. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Norrie C. (Q) | Stricker D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Machac T. (3) | |
| 13 | Arnaldi M. (8) | Gaston H. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Sell K. (Q) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Fucsovics M. | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Djokovic N. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Halys Q. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rinderknech A. | Hurkacz H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Khachanov K. (4) | Nishikori K. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Ofner S. | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Popyrin A. (5) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Norrie C. | Machac T. (RET.) (3) | 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Arnaldi M. (8) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Fucsovics M. | Djokovic N. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Hurkacz H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Khachanov K. (4) | Ofner S. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Popyrin A. (5) | Norrie C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Arnaldi M. (8) | Djokovic N. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Hurkacz H. (6) | Ofner S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Norrie C. | Djokovic N. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Hurkacz H. (6) | Djokovic N. (2) | 1 : 2 |
