Result
2:0
01/05/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 46% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 76% (22/29) | 54% (14/26) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 48% (15/31) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 60% (6/10) |
| Average 1st Serve Speed |
|---|
| 204 km/h | 194 km/h |
| Average 2nd Serve Speed |
|---|
| 158 km/h | 160 km/h |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (12/26) | 24% (7/29) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 21% (3/14) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 0% (0/0) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 83% (5/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 77% (33/43) | 51% (29/57) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 23% (10/43) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (61/100) | 39% (39/100) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 50% (4/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 0% (0/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 25% (4/16) |
Chances of winning
Jack Draper
73.7% | Matteo Arnaldi
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+4%)
Jack Draper - Matteo Arnaldi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.33) |
|
3.64 ↑
(3.33) |
4.6%
(5%) | |
What is the prediction for Jack Draper - Matteo Arnaldi?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 30.4% – 86.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Draper (votes: 2 - 50%). Arnaldi (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 Sets - Arnaldi (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -4 Games - Arnaldi (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Draper (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Arnaldi (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Draper is ranked ATP: 6. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 44.
- Right now, both players are showing solid form.
- Arnaldi could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match, Draper is a favorite.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Jack Draper won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Jack Draper has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Jack Draper?
Matteo Arnaldi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jack Draper - Matteo Arnaldi were as follows:
Latest results of Jack Draper
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bonzi B. (Q) | Droguet T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Moller E. (Q) | Cina F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Diallo G. (32) | |
| 5 | Norrie C. (19) | Bye | |
| 6 | Machac T. | Comesana F. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Bautista-Agut R. | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Paul T. (15) | |
| 9 | Rublev A. (9) | Bye | |
| 10 | Zhang Z. (PR) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Sonego L. | Lajovic D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Rinderknech A. (22) | |
| 13 | Fonseca J. (27) | Bye | |
| 14 | Bergs Z. | Cilic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Jodar R. (WC) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Shelton B. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Ofner S. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | |
| 21 | Fils A. (21) | Bye | |
| 22 | Buse I. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Brooksby J. | Nava E. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Vacherot V. (14) | |
| 25 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Tabilo A. | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Muller A. | Struff J-L. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Michelsen A. (33) | |
| 29 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Bye | |
| 30 | Dzumhur D. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Faria J. (Q) | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Musetti L. (6) | |
| 33 | Bublik A. (8) | Bye | |
| 34 | Kypson P. (LL) | Tsitsipas S. | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Trungelliti M. (LL) | Merida Aguilar D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Moutet C. (26) | |
| 37 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Bye | |
| 38 | Carreno-Busta P. (WC) | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 1 |
| 39 | Munar J. | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 41 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Bye | |
| 42 | Hanfmann Y. | Giron M. | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Altmaier D. | Cerundolo J. M. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Garin C. (LL) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Gaubas V. (Q) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 49 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 50 | Marozsan F. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | Opelka R. (RET.) | 0 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (31) | |
| 53 | Tien L. (17) | Bye | |
| 54 | Vallejo D. (Q) | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Monfils G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Landaluce M. (WC) | Walton A. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Popyrin A. | Damm M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 61 | Humbert U. (30) | Bye | |
| 62 | Atmane T. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Borges N. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bonzi B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Moller E. (Q) | Diallo G. (RET.) (32) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Norrie C. (19) | Machac T. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Tirante T. A. | Paul T. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Rublev A. (9) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Lajovic D. | Rinderknech A. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Fonseca J. (WO.) (27) | Cilic M. | |
| 8 | Jodar R. | De Minaur A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Shelton B. (4) | Prizmic D. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Ofner S. | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Fils A. (21) | Buse I. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nava E. | Vacherot V. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Struff J-L. | Michelsen A. (33) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Hurkacz H. | Musetti L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Bublik A. (8) | Tsitsipas S. | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Merida Aguilar D. | Moutet C. (26) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Carreno-Busta P. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Munar J. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Hanfmann Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Cerundolo J. M. | Darderi L. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (28) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Gaubas V. | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (7) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Budkov Kjaer N. | Shapovalov D. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Tien L. (17) | Vallejo D. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Cobolli F. (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (13) | Walton A. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Damm M. | Mensik J. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Humbert U. (30) | Atmane T. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Navone M. | Zverev A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Moller E. | |
| 2 | Norrie C. (19) | Tirante T. A. | |
| 3 | Kopriva V. | Rinderknech A. (22) | |
| 4 | Fonseca J. (27) | Jodar R. | |
| 5 | Prizmic D. | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | |
| 6 | Fils A. (21) | Nava E. | |
| 7 | Lehecka J. (11) | Michelsen A. (33) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Musetti L. (6) | |
| 9 | Tsitsipas S. | Merida Aguilar D. | |
| 10 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 11 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 12 | Blockx A. | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (7) | Budkov Kjaer N. | |
| 14 | Vallejo D. | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 15 | Khachanov K. (13) | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 16 | Atmane T. | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
