Result
09/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/8-finals
Chances of winning
Matteo Berrettini
42% | Joao Fonseca
58% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Matteo Berrettini - Joao Fonseca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.25) |
|
1.66 ↑
(1.66) |
4.4%
(5%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Berrettini - Joao Fonseca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Fonseca (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 Games - Berrettini (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2.5 Games - Berrettini (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Games - Berrettini (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Sets - Berrettini (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Joao Fonseca will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Fonseca (votes: 4 - 36.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Berrettini is ranked ATP: 90. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 40.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Berrettini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Berrettini won against Joao Fonseca?
Matteo Berrettini has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Matteo Berrettini?
Joao Fonseca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Berrettini - Joao Fonseca were as follows:
Latest results of Matteo Berrettini
Latest results of Joao Fonseca
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Baez S. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Atmane T. | Quinn E. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Lehecka J. (11) | Nava E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Monfils G. (WC) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Bublik A. (8) | |
| 9 | Musetti L. (4) | Bye | |
| 10 | Vacherot V. | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Dzumhur D. (LL) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Hurkacz H. (PR) | Darderi L. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (10) | Comesana F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Shapovalov D. | Blockx A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Norrie C. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 18 | Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL) | Berrettini M. (WC) | 0 : 0 |
| 19 | Fonseca J. | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Rinderknech A. | Khachanov K. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Rublev A. (13) | Borges N. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Bergs Z. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Garin C. (Q) | Arnaldi M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 25 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Bye | |
| 26 | Cilic M. | Shevchenko A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Moutet C. | Muller A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Popyrin A. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Altmaier D. | Machac T. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Kouame M. (WC) | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Monfils G. | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (4) | Vacherot V. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Marozsan F. | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cobolli F. (10) | Blockx A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Norrie C. | De Minaur A. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (7) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Fonseca J. | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Rublev A. (13) | Bergs Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Garin C. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Moutet C. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Machac T. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Humbert U. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Etcheverry T. M. | |
| 2 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bublik A. (8) | |
| 3 | Vacherot V. | Hurkacz H. | |
| 4 | Blockx A. | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 5 | Berrettini M. | Fonseca J. | |
| 6 | Bergs Z. | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 7 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Ruud C. (9) | |
| 8 | Machac T. | Sinner J. (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
