Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Matteo Berrettini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Bautista-Agut R. Retired
07/04/2026 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
00
1st serve percentage
67%90%
1st serve points won
40% (4/10)89% (8/9)
2nd serve points won
40% (2/5)100% (1/1)
Break Points Saved
1/30/0
1st return points won
11% (1/9)70% (7/10)
2nd return points won
0% (0/1)60% (3/5)
Break Points Converted
0/02/3
Winners
010
Unforced errors
64
Net points won
0% (0/0)100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
33% (5/15)90% (9/10)
Return Points Won
10% (1/10)67% (10/15)
Total Points Won
24% (6/25)76% (19/25)
Last 10 balls
19
Match points saved
00
Service games won
0% (0/2)100% (2/2)
Return games won
0% (0/2)100% (2/2)
Total games won
0% (0/4)100% (4/4)

Chances of winning


Roberto Bautista-Agut
26.7%
Matteo Berrettini
73.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 60.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Bautista-Agut's form might have worsened.
  • Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Berrettini's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Bautista-Agut, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Roberto Bautista-Agut - Matteo Berrettini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.58
    (2.51)

    1.3
    (1.49)
    4.8%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Roberto Bautista-Agut - Matteo Berrettini?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 12 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Berrettini will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 85. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 90.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bautista-Agut won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Bautista-Agut may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Berrettini is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bautista-Agut won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.4:1.8).
    Latest results of Matteo Berrettini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.0 : 2
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J. (11)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Hurkacz H.2 : 1
    4Blockx A.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini M.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    6Bergs Z.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Ruud C. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    8Machac T.Sinner J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bublik A. (8)2 : 0
    2Vacherot V.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 1
    3Fonseca J.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Vacherot V.2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2