Assisense vs Mauaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Paulista B Assisense - Mauaense
Result
2:2
25/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista B - Second stage - Round 5

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 2 - 0, ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, ,
  • 77', 2 - 2, ,
  • 87', 🟥,
  • 90+2', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Assisense
38.8%
Draw
29.2%
Mauaense
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 28.4% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 30% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Assisense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Mauaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Assisense than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Assisense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mauaense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mauaense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Assisense - Mauaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.1)
    3.14
    (3.2)
    2.87
    (3.2)
    9.1%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Assisense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mauaense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Assisense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Assisense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Assisense - Mauaense were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Mauaense - Assisense 1:1
    Latest results of Assisense
    05.07.2025 Mauaense - Assisense 1:1
    13.06.2025 Assisense - Tanabi 2:3
    08.06.2025 Tupã - Assisense 1:2
    Latest results of Mauaense
    19.07.2025 Tanabi - Mauaense 0:0
    12.07.2025 Mauaense - Tanabi 0:0
    05.07.2025 Mauaense - Assisense 1:1
    21.06.2025 Mauá - Mauaense 2:3
    14.06.2025 Mauaense - ECUS 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1TanabiIndependente SP1 : 1
    2ECUS SPMaua1 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2