Assisense vs Mauaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
25/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista B - Second stage - Round 5

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 2 - 0, ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, ,
  • 77', 2 - 2, ,
  • 87', 🟥,
  • 90+2', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Assisense
38.8%
Draw
29.2%
Mauaense
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 28.4% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 30% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Assisense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Mauaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Assisense than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Assisense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mauaense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mauaense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Assisense - Mauaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.1)
    3.14
    (3.2)
    2.87
    (3.2)
    9.1%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Assisense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mauaense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Assisense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Assisense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Assisense - Mauaense were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Mauaense - Assisense 1:1
    Latest results of Assisense
    05.07.2025 Mauaense - Assisense 1:1
    13.06.2025 Assisense - Tanabi 2:3
    08.06.2025 Tupã - Assisense 1:2
    Latest results of Mauaense
    19.07.2025 Tanabi - Mauaense 0:0
    12.07.2025 Mauaense - Tanabi 0:0
    05.07.2025 Mauaense - Assisense 1:1
    21.06.2025 Mauá - Mauaense 2:3
    14.06.2025 Mauaense - ECUS 1:0
    Brazilian Paulista B Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jose Bonifacio EC22006:066
    2Assisense32014:316
    3America SP31111:2-14
    4Santa Fe SP31023:4-13
    5Tupa31024:7-33
    6Riopretano20111:3-21


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independente SP22003:036
    2Sao Carlos32014:316
    3Matonense32014:316
    4Santacruzense21017:253
    5Mogi Mirim31022:4-23
    6Catanduvense30032:10-80


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo SP32104:137
    2Audax-SP32015:236
    3Paulinia FU21012:203
    4Guarulhos21012:3-13
    5Paulinense31022:4-23
    6Votoraty SP30122:5-31


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Itaqua22003:036
    2Maua21104:134
    3Uniao Mogi21104:224
    4Mauaense31112:204
    5Manthiqueira20112:5-31
    6Barcelona SP30030:5-50

          Promotion ~ Paulista B (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)