Result
2:1
10/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 71% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 83% (35/42) | 70% (39/56) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 30% (7/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0/1 | 5/9 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 38% (21/56) | 17% (7/42) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 38% (10/26) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/9 | 1/1 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 14 | 34 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 83% (5/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (50/67) | 58% (46/79) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (33/79) | 25% (17/67) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (83/146) | 43% (63/146) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 69% (9/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 8% (1/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 38% (10/26) |
Chances of winning
Max Houkes
35.7% | Luka Pavlovic
64.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Houkes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luka Pavlovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Max Houkes - Luka Pavlovic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.37) |
|
1.45 ↓
(1.53) |
7.9%
(7.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Max Houkes - Luka Pavlovic?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Houkes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Pavlovic will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Houkes is ranked ATP: 245. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 211.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Houkes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pavlovic is the team to beat.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Max Houkes won against Luka Pavlovic?
Max Houkes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luka Pavlovic won against Max Houkes?
Luka Pavlovic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Max Houkes - Luka Pavlovic were as follows:
Latest results of Max Houkes
Latest results of Luka Pavlovic
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Forejtek J. | Ouakaa A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Donski A. (Q) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Houkes M. | Pavlovic L. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Vasa E. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nijboer R. (Q) | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Coulibaly E. | Denolly C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Roca Batalla O. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Iradukunda G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Kopp S. | Marrero Curbelo I. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Erhard M. | Martin A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Steiner M. (Q) | Clarke J. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Schwaerzler J. J. (7) | Napolitano S. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Bax F. | Neuchrist M. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Pennaforti G. (Q) | Cuenin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bouchelaghem C. (WC) | Gea A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Forejtek J. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Donski A. | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vasa E. | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Denolly C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Kopp S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Martin A. | Clarke J. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Napolitano S. | Neuchrist M. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Cuenin S. (RET.) | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jianu F. C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Napolitano S. | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Kolar Z. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Gea A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Cecchinato M. (8) | |
