Result
2:2
24/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Pacheco Larios G. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (210/273) | 89% (484/545) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 3 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (210/273) | 89% (484/545) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (17/45) | 59% (38/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (52/71) | 87% (209/239) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 43% (12/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.31 | -1.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Alvarez K. ⚽, Rodriguez B. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Colula B. ⚽, Hernandez D. (A),
- 30', 2 - 1, Zaleta M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Cervantes A. ↓, Reyes I. ↑,
- 46', Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
- 46', Vazquez M. ↓, Borja C. ↑,
- 61', Zaleta M. 🟨,
- 62', Zaleta M. ↓, Leyva A. ↑,
- 62', Meraz R. ↓, Fierro S. ↑,
- 67', Davila V. ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
- 71', Fidalgo A. ↓, dos Santos J. ↑,
- 76', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
- 77', Hernandez D. ↓, Benedetti N. ↑,
- 81', Lainez M. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
- 82', Diaz J. ↓, Merolla L. ↑,
- 88', Fierro S. 🟨,
- 89', 2 - 2, Rodriguez B. ⚽,
- 90+1', dos Santos J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mazatlan
17.7% | Draw
22.4% | Club América
59.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Mazatlan - Club América Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.26 ↑
(4.73) |
4.24 ↑
(4.03) |
1.57 ↓
(1.63) |
6.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Club América?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - América (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - América (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Club América will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Club América will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. América (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 0.
- Mazatlan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- América is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, América is the team to beat.
- There will not play in América: Espinoza D.
(Knee Injury)
Sanchez E.
(Muscle Injury)
Violante I.
(Muscle Injury)
Zendejas A.
(Thigh Injury)
Zuniga J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Herrera A.
(Injury)
Intriago J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Moreno Villegas O. F.
(Injury)
Sierra J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in América: Martin H.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:30. (average 0.7:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.8:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Club América?
Mazatlan has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club América won against Mazatlan?
Club América has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Club América were as follows:
19.04.2025
Club América
-
Mazatlan
5:0
01.11.2024
Mazatlan
-
Club América
0:5
21.02.2024
Club América
-
Mazatlan
2:2
06.10.2023
Mazatlan
-
Club América
1:2
28.01.2023
Club América
-
Mazatlan
6:0
Latest results of Mazatlan
Latest results of Club América
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Toluca | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Club America | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Puebla | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Juarez | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9:23 | -14 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
