Querétaro vs Mazatlan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
02/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.85
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
81% (265/328)88% (492/557)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.860.68
Total shots
128
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
812
Passes
81% (265/328)88% (492/557)
Long passes
42% (23/55)51% (34/67)
Passes in final third
65% (63/97)62% (70/113)
Crosses
20% (4/20)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.89
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
128
Tackles
74% (17/23)56% (10/18)
Duels won
3944
Clearances
1322
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.681.86
Goals prevented
-0.320.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Benedetti N. , Duarte A. ,
  • 55', Villanueva C. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Avila A. , Barrera P. (A),
  • 62', Diaz J. , Dudu ,
  • 62', Lainez M. , Barcenas Y. ,
  • 69', Esquivel J. , Sierra J. ,
  • 71', Bogarin R. , Carcelen Carabali M. A. ,
  • 71', Barrera P. , Robles J. ,
  • 76', Carcelen Carabali M. A. 🟨,
  • 77', Leyva A. 🟨,
  • 81', Avila A. , Coronel M. ,
  • 81', Rodriguez L. , Perez A. ,
  • 81', Hernandez D. , Zaleta M. ,
  • 86', Duarte A. 🟨,
  • 87', Dudu 🟥,
  • 87', Zapata A. 🟨,
  • 89', Zapata A. , Garcia C. ,

Chances of winning


Querétaro
41.9%
Draw
28.2%
Mazatlan
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 27.4% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 27.1% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Querétaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Querétaro - Mazatlan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.28)
    3.33
    (3.45)
    3.1
    (3.03)
    7.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Querétaro - Mazatlan?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Querétaro will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Mazatlan will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Querétaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Querétaro could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Querétaro: Gruezo E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Querétaro: Lertora F. (Calf Injury) Reyes D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mazatlan: Herrera A. (Injury) Moreno Villegas O. F. (Injury) Sierra J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Querétaro - Mazatlan were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Querétaro - Mazatlan 1:0
    04.10.2024 Mazatlan - Querétaro 2:2
    12.04.2024 Querétaro - Mazatlan 0:2
    27.10.2023 Mazatlan - Querétaro 3:0
    19.02.2023 Querétaro - Mazatlan 1:1
    Latest results of Querétaro
    26.10.2025 Santos Laguna - Querétaro 3:1
    18.10.2025 Toluca - Querétaro 4:0
    04.10.2025 Querétaro - Puebla 3:1
    28.09.2025 Querétaro - Tigres UANL 0:2
    Latest results of Mazatlan
    24.10.2025 Mazatlan - Club América 2:2
    21.10.2025 Mazatlan - Santos Laguna 2:2
    27.09.2025 Toluca - Mazatlan 3:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guadalajara Chivas760112:6618
    2Cruz Azul751113:8516
    3UNAM Pumas743014:6815
    4Toluca74309:2715
    5Pachuca74219:5414
    6Atlas74129:9013
    7Club America73227:3411
    8Tigres UANL731311:8310
    9Monterrey731310:7310
    10Necaxa73049:11-29
    11Club Tijuana71516:608
    12Atl. San Luis721412:13-17
    13Club Leon72147:10-37
    14Queretaro61235:8-35
    15Puebla71244:10-65
    16Juarez61148:12-44
    17Mazatlan FC71157:14-74
    18Santos Laguna70167:21-141

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)