Result
1:0
04/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | FOX One, FOX Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 24% | 76% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (121/192) | 90% (559/621) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (121/192) | 90% (559/621) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (19/57) | 71% (47/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (34/73) | 80% (132/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Abascia L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Isais M. ↓, Gallardo J. ↑,
- 59', Helinho ↓, Vega A. ↑,
- 62', Cazares J. ↓, Venegas F. ↑,
- 72', Diaz J. ↓, Cordova S. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 0, Avila A. ⚽, Jhojan Julio (A),
- 79', Barbosa D. ↓, Simon S. ↑,
- 79', Angulo J. ↓, Rossi F. ↑,
- 85', Jhojan Julio ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
- 85', Homenchenko S. ↓, Parra B. ↑,
- 90+1', Avila A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Coronel M. ↓, Robles J. ↑,
- 90+4', Avila A. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 90+7', Castro N. 🟨,
- 90+7', Duarte B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Querétaro
17.3% | Draw
22.3% | Toluca
60.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Querétaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+2%)
Querétaro - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.38 ↓
(5.55) |
4.17 ↓
(4.22) |
1.55 ↓
(1.56) |
7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Querétaro - Toluca?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Toluca (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Toluca (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 0.
- Querétaro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Toluca has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Toluca is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Querétaro: Gruezo E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Toluca: Arce F.
(Red Card)
Perez P.
(Injury)
Ruiz M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Querétaro: Allison G.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:39. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Querétaro won against Toluca?
Querétaro has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Querétaro?
Toluca has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Querétaro - Toluca were as follows:
18.10.2025
Toluca
-
Querétaro
4:0
26.02.2025
Toluca
-
Querétaro
5:0
18.10.2024
Querétaro
-
Toluca
0:1
12.01.2024
Querétaro
-
Toluca
2:2
08.10.2023
Toluca
-
Querétaro
3:1
Latest results of Querétaro
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
