Mbarara City vs Kampala City Council – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
28/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ugandaUgandaFUFA TV, Sanyuka TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
12
Corner Kicks
53
Total shots
96
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
84
Corner Kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Achayi H. ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Kanyike M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Ahimbisibwe Ivan ,

Chances of winning


Mbarara City
18%
Draw
28.3%
Kampala City Council
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.2% 26.7% 57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9% 26.2% 58.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Kampala City Council has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kampala City Council than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Mbarara City - Kampala City Council Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.05
    (5.6)
    3.2
    (3.4)
    1.69
    (1.59)
    10.4%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 1.
    • Mbarara City is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kampala City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Kampala City is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mbarara City won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mbarara City - Kampala City Council were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Kampala City Council - Mbarara City 1:0
    07.01.2025 Mbarara City - Kampala City Council 0:2
    18.04.2024 Kampala City Council - Mbarara City 4:0
    06.12.2023 Mbarara City - Kampala City Council 2:1
    Latest results of Mbarara City
    05.11.2025 Express - Mbarara City 4:1
    01.11.2025 Mbarara City - NEC FC 0:1
    24.10.2025 Kitara - Mbarara City 3:2
    17.10.2025 Mbarara City - Bul 1:1
    Latest results of Kampala City Council
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers16115034:92538
    2Kampala City18113426:161036
    3Villa17104326:101634
    4Entebbe UPPC17104318:9934
    5Kitara16103323:121133
    6Police1795329:181132
    7NEC FC1759319:16324
    8BUL1755716:19-320
    9Maroons1746714:14018
    10Lugazi1746715:21-618
    11Express1746714:17-318
    12Buhimba18431115:38-2315
    13Mbarara City1736814:26-1215
    14URA SC1729614:19-515
    15UPDF17331112:25-1312
    16Calvary1705126:26-205

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League