Police vs Mbarara City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ugandan Super League Police - Mbarara City
Result
2:0
10/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 23
Police - Mbarara City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
118
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
52
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Kasumba U. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Kayongo S. 🟨,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 65', Kalanzi D. , Eragu G. ,
  • 65', Muwanguzi T. , Figo ,
  • 75', Kasumba U. , Ogweti G. ,
  • 75', Ocen B. , Male R. ,
  • 76', Eragu G. 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Kacancu A. ,
  • 90+2', Kacancu A. , Mugume E. ,

Chances of winning


Police
47%
Draw
33.3%
Mbarara City
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 27.5% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 25.1% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.
  • Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Police - Mbarara City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.57)
    2.75
    (3.3)
    4.64
    (6.1)
    9.4%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 12 and 13).
    • Recent matches Police is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mbarara City is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Police will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Police won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.6:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Police won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Police - Mbarara City were as follows:
    20.09.2024 Mbarara City - Police 0:0
    Latest results of Police
    03.04.2025 Bright Stars - Police 3:1
    27.03.2025 Police - Kitara 0:1
    13.03.2025 Express - Police 1:2
    06.03.2025 Police - Vipers 0:1
    01.03.2025 Mbale Heroes - Police 1:1
    Latest results of Mbarara City
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers30216349:153469
    2NEC FC30207344:192567
    3BUL301611338:191959
    4URA SC301641042:231952
    5Kampala City30148847:242350
    6Villa30129944:301445
    7Kitara301281045:202544
    8Maroons301271129:32-343
    9Express301161330:45-1539
    10UPDF301091129:34-539
    11Police308121027:28-136
    12Mbarara City30881422:33-1132
    13Lugazi307101319:33-1431
    14Bright Stars30481823:47-2420
    15Wakiso Giants303111617:47-3020
    16Mbale Heroes30242413:69-5610

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League

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