Result
2:0
10/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Kasumba U. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Kayongo S. 🟨,
- 60', 🟨,
- 65', Kalanzi D. ↓, Eragu G. ↑,
- 65', Muwanguzi T. ↓, Figo ↑,
- 75', Kasumba U. ↓, Ogweti G. ↑,
- 75', Ocen B. ↓, Male R. ↑,
- 76', Eragu G. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 0, Kacancu A. ⚽,
- 90+2', Kacancu A. ↓, Mugume E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Police
47% | Draw
33.3% | Mbarara City
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Police - Mbarara City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.57) |
2.75 ↓
(3.3) |
4.64 ↓
(6.1) |
9.4%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 12 and 13).
- Recent matches Police is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Mbarara City is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Police will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Police won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.6:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Police won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Mbarara City?
Police has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mbarara City won against Police?
Mbarara City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Police - Mbarara City were as follows:
20.09.2024
Mbarara City
-
Police
0:0
Latest results of Mbarara City
Ugandan Super League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 49:15 | 34 | 69 |
| 2 | NEC FC | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 67 |
| 3 | BUL | 30 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 38:19 | 19 | 59 |
| 4 | URA SC | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 42:23 | 19 | 52 |
| 5 | Kampala City | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 47:24 | 23 | 50 |
| 6 | Villa | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 44:30 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Kitara | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 45:20 | 25 | 44 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 43 |
| 9 | Express | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 30:45 | -15 | 39 |
| 10 | UPDF | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 39 |
| 11 | Police | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27:28 | -1 | 36 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 22:33 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 19:33 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | Bright Stars | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23:47 | -24 | 20 |
| 15 | Wakiso Giants | 30 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 17:47 | -30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mbale Heroes | 30 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 13:69 | -56 | 10 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
