Police vs Uganda Revenue Authority SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 24

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
53
Corner kicks
79
Total shots
129
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
76
Corner kicks
79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Lubwama J. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Tezikya L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 70', 2 - 1, Ikamba B. ,

Chances of winning


Police
40.3%
Draw
31.6%
Uganda Revenue Authority SC
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 28.2% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27.8% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.
  • Uganda Revenue Authority SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uganda Revenue Authority SC than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Police - Uganda Revenue Authority SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.87)
    2.87
    (3.2)
    3.24
    (3.85)
    10.2%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 1.
    • Police is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • URA SC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • URA SC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Police is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Police won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Police won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Police - Uganda Revenue Authority SC were as follows:
    31.01.2026 Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Police 0:0
    25.04.2025 Police - Uganda Revenue Authority SC 2:0
    07.01.2025 Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Police 1:0
    Latest results of Police
    08.04.2026 Express - Police 3:1
    13.03.2026 Police - NEC FC 0:1
    10.03.2026 Police - Villa 1:0
    03.03.2026 Police - Bul 0:2
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers26178149:163359
    2Kitara26166438:152354
    3Kampala City26164637:201752
    4Villa26156538:142451
    5NEC FC261112326:161045
    6Police26135839:31844
    7Entebbe UPPC26127723:19443
    8BUL26971029:28134
    9Maroons26810825:21434
    10Express26791023:27-430
    11URA SC26413922:28-625
    12Lugazi26581319:34-1523
    13UPDF26561522:35-1321
    14Mbarara City26491321:39-1821
    15Buhimba26431916:56-4015
    16Calvary26271710:38-2813

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          Relegation ~ Big League