Mamelodi Sundowns vs MC Alger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CAF Champions League - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 4
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.600.55
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
42
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
72
Passes
80% (361/449)64% (155/242)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
0.600.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.600.12
Total shots
117
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
72
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
138
Passes
80% (361/449)64% (155/242)
Long passes
53% (42/79)21% (9/43)
Passes in final third
62% (72/116)56% (48/86)
Crosses
25% (4/16)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.35
Throw ins
2231
Fouls
813
Tackles
83% (10/12)90% (19/21)
Duels won
4051
Clearances
1225
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.120.60
Goals prevented
0.12-1.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Leon B. ,
  • 21', Adams J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Anatouf M. , Bangoura M. ,
  • 46', Tabti L. , Halaimia M. ,
  • 52', Ghezala A. 🟨,
  • 53', Zougrana M. 🟨,
  • 61', Matthews T. , Allende M. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Leon B. , Modiba A. (A),
  • 73', Arthur Sales , Zwane T. ,
  • 73', Zougrana M. , Bangoura A. ,
  • 73', Naidji Z. , Boukholda C. ,
  • 73', Ferhat Z. , Messoussa A. ,
  • 83', Mudau K. 🟨,
  • 85', Leon B. , Shalulile P. ,
  • 90+4', Khelif M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mamelodi Sundowns
54.3%
Draw
29.3%
MC Alger
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.2% 23% 11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2% 23% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mamelodi Sundowns's form might have worsened.
  • MC Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mamelodi Sundowns, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for MC Alger than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns - MC Alger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.43)
    3.11
    (4.06)
    5.69
    (7.92)
    8.7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns - MC Alger?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - MC Alger (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - MC Alger (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - MC Alger (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - MC Alger (3.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. MC Alger (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mamelodi Sundowns has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • MC Alger is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, MC Alger has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mamelodi Sundowns won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mamelodi Sundowns - MC Alger were as follows:
    28.11.2025 MC Alger - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:0
    Latest results of MC Alger
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Esperance TunisAl Ahly3 : 2, 1 : 0
    2Mamelodi SundownsStade Malien0 : 2, 3 : 0
    3FAR RabatPyramids2 : 1, 1 : 1
    4BerkaneAl-Hilal Omdurman1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Esperance TunisMamelodi Sundowns
    2FAR RabatBerkane

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2