Result
1:2
10/01/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 14
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', 0 - 1, Alemu F. ⚽,
- 69', 0 - 2, Disasa G. ⚽,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Abera M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mechal
31.4% | Draw
35% | Bahir Dar Kenema
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mechal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Bahir Dar Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mechal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Mechal - Bahir Dar Kenema Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.66) |
2.6 ↓
(2.81) |
2.71 ↓
(2.81) |
9.8%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 12).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mechal won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Mechal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mechal won against Bahir Dar Kenema?
Mechal has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahir Dar Kenema won against Mechal?
Bahir Dar Kenema has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mechal - Bahir Dar Kenema were as follows:
19.05.2025
Bahir Dar Kenema
-
Mechal
0:0
25.01.2025
Mechal
-
Bahir Dar Kenema
1:1
Latest results of Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 27:11 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 22:14 | 8 | 37 |
| 3 | Hawassa | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 24:13 | 11 | 36 |
| 4 | Mechal | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 10 | 34 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 33 |
| 6 | Adama City | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 29 |
| 8 | Ethio Electric | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 11:11 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 22 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 27 |
| 10 | Hadiya Hossana | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 18:21 | -3 | 27 |
| 11 | Shire Endaselassie | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 15:16 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | St. George | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:17 | -1 | 25 |
| 13 | Dire Dawa | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 25 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 16:17 | -1 | 24 |
| 15 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 26:29 | -3 | 24 |
| 16 | Sheger Ketema | 22 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 24 |
| 17 | Welwalo Adigrat | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 | Welayta Dicha | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 22 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 22 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 21 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
