Result
1:1
04/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 19
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Gugsa C. ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, Wamisho D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Hadiya Hossana
23.6% | Draw
36.3% | Mechal
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hadiya Hossana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hadiya Hossana's form might have worsened.Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hadiya Hossana than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hadiya Hossana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Hadiya Hossana - Mechal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.87 ↑
(3.15) |
2.52 ↓
(2.81) |
2.27 ↓
(2.41) |
9.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Hadiya Hossana - Mechal?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Mechal (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Mechal (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Mechal will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mechal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Mechal (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 5).
- Hadiya Hossana is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mechal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mechal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Mechal might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Hadiya Hossana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hadiya Hossana won against Mechal?
Hadiya Hossana has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mechal won against Hadiya Hossana?
Mechal has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hadiya Hossana - Mechal were as follows:
05.06.2025
Hadiya Hossana
-
Mechal
1:1
06.01.2025
Mechal
-
Hadiya Hossana
0:1
Latest results of Hadiya Hossana
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 26:11 | 15 | 39 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 22:14 | 8 | 37 |
| 3 | Hawassa | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 24:13 | 11 | 36 |
| 4 | Mechal | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 10 | 34 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 33 |
| 6 | Adama City | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 7 | Ethio Electric | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 11:11 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Hadiya Hossana | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 18:21 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Shire Endaselassie | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 15:16 | -1 | 26 |
| 11 | Ethiopia Bunna | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 26 |
| 12 | St. George | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:17 | -1 | 25 |
| 13 | Dire Dawa | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 25 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 16:17 | -1 | 24 |
| 15 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 26:29 | -3 | 24 |
| 16 | Sheger Ketema | 22 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 24 |
| 17 | Welwalo Adigrat | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 | Welayta Dicha | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 22 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 22 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 21 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
