Result
4:3
21/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Gugsa C. ⚽,
- 39', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 2, Elias Y. ⚽,
- 52', 2 - 2, Hailmariam T. ⚽,
- 67', 3 - 2, Elias Y. ⚽,
- 81', 4 - 2, Damtew C. ⚽,
- 90+5', 4 - 3, Gugsa C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Welayta Dicha
29.2% | Draw
36.1% | Mechal
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Welayta Dicha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Mechal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welayta Dicha than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Welayta Dicha - Mechal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↓
(3.13) |
2.52 ↓
(2.85) |
2.62 ↑
(2.4) |
9.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5).
- Welayta Dicha has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mechal is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Welayta Dicha won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Welayta Dicha won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Welayta Dicha won against Mechal?
Welayta Dicha has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mechal won against Welayta Dicha?
Mechal has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Welayta Dicha - Mechal were as follows:
19.10.2025
Mechal
-
Welayta Dicha
1:0
25.05.2025
Welayta Dicha
-
Mechal
1:1
02.10.2024
Mechal
-
Welayta Dicha
3:1
Latest results of Welayta Dicha
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:17 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 26:19 | 7 | 43 |
| 3 | Hawassa | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Mechal | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Adama City | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Sheger Ketema | 27 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
| 12 | St. George | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 22:24 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 | Hadiya Hossana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 22:27 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 | Dire Dawa | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Welayta Dicha | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
| 16 | Ethiopian Insurance | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 29 |
| 17 | Welwalo Adigrat | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 20:28 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Shire Endaselassie | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 17:30 | -13 | 26 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 20:33 | -13 | 23 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
