Wuhan Three Towns vs Meizhou Hakka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Wuhan Sports Centre (Wuhan).

Super League - Round 20
Referee: Du J. (Chn)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
China	Guangdong Sports Channel, Migu
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Spain	GolStadium

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	0.63
Ball Possession
68%	32%
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
88% (496/564)	70% (185/264)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	0.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.74	1.24
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
1	8
Shots outside the Box
11	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
24	17
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
18	14
Passes
88% (496/564)	70% (185/264)
Long passes
60% (27/45)	31% (16/52)
Passes in final third
79% (147/187)	64% (63/99)
Crosses
8% (2/26)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.77	0.48
Throw-ins
22	17
Fouls
15	21
Tackles
69% (11/16)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
61	56
Clearances
26	37
Interceptions
2	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.24	0.74
Goals prevented
-0.76	-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Omarsson E. ⚽, Ngom Mbekeli J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zhong Jinbao ↓, Zheng Haoqian ↑,
46', Liu Yun ↓, Yang Chaosheng ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Gustavo Sauer ⚽,
59', Rao Weihui ↓, Yang Yihu ↑,
64', Darlan ↓, Liao Chengjian ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Ngom Mbekeli J. ⚽, Yang Yihu (A),
72', Palacios M. ↓, Shen Zigui ↑,
78', Chen Zhechao ↓, Wang Jinxian ↑,
78', He Guan ↓, Hang Ren ↑,
80', Yang Yihu 🟨,
84', Zhong Haoran ↓, Chen Xuhuang ↑,
84', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Tian Ziyi ↑,
88', Rodrigo Henrique ↓, Wei Xiangxin ↑,
90+11', Chen Xuhuang 🟨,

Chances of winning

Wuhan Three Towns
55.7%

Draw
23.7%

Meizhou Hakka
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

23.5%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

20.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan Three Towns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wuhan Three Towns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Meizhou Hakka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.77)	3.95 ↓ (4.02)	4.5 ↑ (4.05)	7.2% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka?

Users Predictions: Wuhan Three Towns will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 2.
Wuhan Three Towns is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Meizhou Hakka is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Wuhan Three Towns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Wuhan Three Towns is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Meizhou Hakka: Yue Tze-Nam (Injury)
There are questionable in Meizhou Hakka: Yang Ruiqi (Injury) Yang Yihu (Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Wuhan Three Towns won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Wuhan Three Towns won against Meizhou Hakka?

Wuhan Three Towns has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Meizhou Hakka won against Wuhan Three Towns?

Meizhou Hakka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka were as follows:

06.04.2025 Meizhou Hakka - Wuhan Three Towns 3:1

27.10.2024 Meizhou Hakka - Wuhan Three Towns 1:0

25.05.2024 Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka 0:1

23.07.2023 Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka 2:1

25.04.2023 Meizhou Hakka - Wuhan Three Towns 1:2

Latest results of Wuhan Three Towns

03.08.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai 0:0 ✺

27.07.2025 Zhejiang Professional - Wuhan Three Towns 3:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao West Coast 1:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng 2:2 ✺

25.06.2025 Shandong Taishan - Wuhan Three Towns 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Meizhou Hakka

02.08.2025 Meizhou Hakka - Shanghai Port 2:4 ✺

27.07.2025 Shandong Taishan - Meizhou Hakka 3:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Henan Songshan Longmen - Meizhou Hakka 1:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1:2 ✺

25.06.2025 Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan 0:4 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Port	26	17	6	3	63:38	25	57
2	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	16	7	3	53:22	31	55
3	Shanghai Shenhua	26	16	6	4	59:31	28	54
4	Beijing Guoan	26	15	6	5	57:39	18	51
5	Shandong Taishan	25	12	6	7	56:40	16	42
6	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	25	11	7	7	35:32	3	40
7	Zhejiang Professional	26	10	9	7	54:42	12	39
8	Dalian Yingbo	25	9	6	10	26:38	-12	33
9	Yunnan Yukun	25	8	7	10	38:49	-11	31
10	Qingdao West Coast	24	7	9	8	31:37	-6	30
11	Henan Songshan Longmen	25	8	5	12	45:43	2	29
12	Wuhan Three Towns	26	6	6	14	32:54	-22	24
13	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	25	6	2	17	29:53	-24	20
14	Qingdao Hainiu	24	3	8	13	23:37	-14	17
15	Changchun Yatai	25	4	5	16	22:41	-19	17
16	Meizhou Hakka	25	4	5	16	30:57	-27	17

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Jia League