Result
5:2
08/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 16
- Referee: Mossin I. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (297/399) | 64% (207/321) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.35 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (297/399) | 64% (207/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/63) | 21% (13/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (109/157) | 45% (27/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 36 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 91% (21/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 4.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Stephenson K. ⚽, Medwin A. (A),
- 13', 0 - 2, Stephenson K. ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 2, Stott R. ⚽,
- 41', 2 - 2, McNamara H. ⚽, Henry B. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 48', 3 - 2, Henry B. ⚽, McNamara H. (A),
- 51', Meyers K. ↓, Jansen B. ↑,
- 69', 4 - 2, Jackson D. ⚽,
- 71', Medwin A. ↓, Barker A. ↑,
- 79', Woods A. ↓, Cuthbert R. ↑,
- 79', Seidl M. ↓, Kinsella A. ↑,
- 79', Studer J. ↓, Hanson K. ↑,
- 80', McKenna L. ↓, Roestbakken K. ↑,
- 81', Barker A. 🟨,
- 82', 5 - 2, Keane A. ⚽,
- 85', Henry B. ↓, Butrus D. ↑,
- 85', McMahon S. ↓, Uchendu C. ↑,
- 88', McNamara H. ↓, Karic C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
52.5% | Draw
24.2% | Brisbane Roar
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.55) |
3.79 ↓
(4.58) |
3.93 ↓
(4.87) |
9.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Brisbane Roar will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Brisbane Roar (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane Roar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 3.
- Melbourne City is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Brisbane Roar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Melbourne City is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:17. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Brisbane Roar?
Melbourne City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Melbourne City?
Brisbane Roar has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
20.01.2026
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne City
1:1
26.03.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne City
0:4
11.01.2025
Melbourne City
-
Brisbane Roar
2:0
02.03.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne City
2:0
28.12.2023
Melbourne City
-
Brisbane Roar
5:3
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27:10 | 17 | 24 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Adelaide W | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 | Brisbane Roar W | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:25 | 1 | 22 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 23:21 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22:21 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Perth W | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
