Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Ctrl cyber Pitch (Melbourne).

A-League Women - Round 16
Referee: Mossin I. (Aus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.45	0.31
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
27	7
Shots on target
11	3
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
8	2
Passes
74% (297/399)	64% (207/321)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.45	0.31
xG on target (xGOT)
4.35	1.26
Total shots
27	7
Shots on target
11	3
Shots off target
11	2
Blocked shots
5	2
Shots inside the box
20	4
Shots outside the box
7	3
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
35	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
6	8
Passes
74% (297/399)	64% (207/321)
Long passes
35% (22/63)	21% (13/62)
Passes in final third
69% (109/157)	45% (27/60)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.39	0.23
Throw ins
36	13
Fouls
8	6
Tackles
79% (11/14)	91% (21/23)
Duels won
31	35
Clearances
6	20
Interceptions
10	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	6
xGOT faced
1.26	4.35
Goals prevented
-0.74	-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Stephenson K. ⚽, Medwin A. (A),
13', 0 - 2, Stephenson K. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Stott R. ⚽,
41', 2 - 2, McNamara H. ⚽, Henry B. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 3 - 2, Henry B. ⚽, McNamara H. (A),
51', Meyers K. ↓, Jansen B. ↑,
69', 4 - 2, Jackson D. ⚽,
71', Medwin A. ↓, Barker A. ↑,
79', Woods A. ↓, Cuthbert R. ↑,
79', Seidl M. ↓, Kinsella A. ↑,
79', Studer J. ↓, Hanson K. ↑,
80', McKenna L. ↓, Roestbakken K. ↑,
81', Barker A. 🟨,
82', 5 - 2, Keane A. ⚽,
85', Henry B. ↓, Butrus D. ↑,
85', McMahon S. ↓, Uchendu C. ↑,
88', McNamara H. ↓, Karic C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Melbourne City
52.5%

Draw
24.2%

Brisbane Roar
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

20.4%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

21.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne City's form might have worsened.

Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.55)	3.79 ↓ (4.58)	3.93 ↓ (4.87)	9.2% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Brisbane Roar will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Brisbane Roar (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane Roar (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 3.
Melbourne City is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Brisbane Roar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Melbourne City is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:17. (average 1.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Brisbane Roar?

Melbourne City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Melbourne City?

Brisbane Roar has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar were as follows:

20.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City 1:1

26.03.2025 Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City 0:4

11.01.2025 Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar 2:0

02.03.2024 Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City 2:0

28.12.2023 Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar 5:3

Latest results of Melbourne City

04.02.2026 Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers 0:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Adelaide United - Melbourne City 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Perth Glory - Melbourne City 0:2 ✺

20.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City 1:1 ✺

16.01.2026 Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Brisbane Roar

04.02.2026 Sydney FC - Brisbane Roar 1:3 ✺

30.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners 2:2 ✺

23.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Canberra United 3:1 ✺

20.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City 1:1 ✺

16.01.2026 Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar 1:1 ✺

Australian A-League Women Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Melbourne City W	16	9	3	4	29:17	12	30
2	Canberra W	16	8	3	5	25:17	8	27
3	Adelaide W	15	8	2	5	19:17	2	26
4	Wellington Phoenix W	15	7	4	4	29:13	16	25
5	Perth W	16	7	2	7	17:22	-5	23
6	Melbourne Victory W	17	6	4	7	24:22	2	22
7	Central Coast Mariners W	16	6	4	6	25:25	0	22
8	Brisbane Roar W	16	6	4	6	26:31	-5	22
9	Newcastle W	16	5	2	9	21:28	-7	17
10	WS Wanderers W	17	4	4	9	16:31	-15	16
11	Sydney W	16	3	6	7	14:22	-8	15

Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)