Melbourne City vs Perth Glory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
1:3
28/12/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 10
  • Referee: Reibelt C. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.962.00
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
85% (475/557)76% (250/330)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.962.00
xG on target (xGOT)
1.862.96
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
2816
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
612
Passes
85% (475/557)76% (250/330)
Long passes
43% (20/47)47% (35/74)
Passes in final third
75% (141/188)57% (43/76)
Crosses
25% (7/28)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.63
Throw-ins
2013
Fouls
126
Tackles
60% (6/10)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4342
Clearances
1742
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.961.86
Goals prevented
-0.040.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Lawrence T. ⚽, Ostler T. (A),
  • 22', 0 - 2, Lawrence T. ⚽, Sulemani A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Bonetig L. ↓, Souprayen S. ↑,
  • 46', Caputo M. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
  • 55', Bozinovski R. ↓, De Abreu G. ↑,
  • 61', Kanamori T. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
  • 61', Ostler T. ↓, Ngo K. ↑,
  • 62', Sulemani A. ↓, Taggart A. ↑,
  • 68', De Abreu G. 🟨,
  • 74', Ferreyra G. 🟨,
  • 76', Kuen A. ↓, Baker B. ↑,
  • 80', 0 - 3, Lawrence T. ⚽,
  • 82', Atkinson N. ↓, Antoniou P. ↑,
  • 84', Sutton S. ↓, Foxe R. ↑,
  • 84', Lawrence T. ↓, Lebib A. ↑,
  • 85', Behich A. 🟨,
  • 86', Griffiths A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Nabbout A. ⚽, Durakovic E. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Melbourne City
59.3%		Draw
22.7%		Perth Glory
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 22.4% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 21.8% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Perth Glory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
    •

    Melbourne City - Perth Glory Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.58 ↑
    (1.56)    		 4.14 ↓
    (4.22)    		 5.25 ↓
    (5.54)    		 6.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Perth Glory?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 19 - 82.6%). Perth will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 67.1% – 98.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Perth (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Perth (3.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Perth (2.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Perth (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Perth (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Perth (4.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Perth (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Perth (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Perth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Melbourne City is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Melbourne City: Leckie M. (Hamstring Injury) Lopane A. (Ankle Injury) Mazzeo B. (Muscle Injury) Nieuwenhuizen J. (Knee Injury) Rahmani K. (Concussion) Shillington H. (Concussion) Souprayen S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Wong L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Perth: Amos L. (Knee Injury) Anasmo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Bozinovski R. (Injury) Cook C. (Knee Injury) Despotovski S. (Calf Injury) Kucharski J. (Injury) Lisolajski Z. (Hamstring Injury) Risdon J. (Yellow Cards) Taggart A. (Injury) Wales L. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 46:28. (average 2.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 2.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Perth Glory were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Melbourne City - Perth Glory 4:0
    15.02.2025 Melbourne City - Perth Glory 1:0
    10.11.2024 Perth Glory - Melbourne City 0:5
    03.08.2024 Perth Glory - Melbourne City 5:4
    14.04.2024 Melbourne City - Perth Glory 8:0
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    23.12.2025 Melbourne City - Macarthur FC 1:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 0:1 ✺
    10.12.2025 FC Seoul - Melbourne City 1:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City 0:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Perth Glory
    20.12.2025 Perth Glory - Adelaide United 0:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Perth Glory - Sydney 0:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Perth Glory - Western Sydney Wanderers 1:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Macarthur FC - Perth Glory 0:2 ✺
    23.11.2025 Newcastle Jets - Perth Glory 1:2 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets19121641:291237
    2Auckland FC19105432:181435
    3Sydney FC19102726:18832
    4Adelaide United1993733:28530
    5Melbourne Victory1984728:24428
    6Macarthur FC1967624:28-425
    7Central Coast Mariners1865724:26-223
    8Brisbane Roar2065919:25-623
    9Melbourne City1957720:27-722
    10Perth Glory19631022:30-821
    11WS Wanderers1955921:26-520
    12Wellington Phoenix1955928:39-1120

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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