Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 26
- Referee: Danaskos T. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 9 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (164/235) | 85% (493/582) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (164/235) | 85% (493/582) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (15/43) | 52% (43/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (40/66) | 64% (101/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Popovic G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 19', Maieroni N. ↓, O'Shea J. ↑,
- 21', Kucharski J. 🟨,
- 31', Pennington N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Klein S. 🟨,
- 56', Ruhs M. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 1, Valkanis D. ⚽,
- 69', Ruhs M. ↓, Halloran B. ↑,
- 70', Popovic G. ↓, Taggart A. ↑,
- 71', Pennington N. ↓, Colakovski S. ↑,
- 76', Kucharski J. ↓, Didulica A. ↑,
- 76', Sutton S. ↓, Risdon J. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Despotovski S. ⚽,
- 77', Despotovski S. 🟨,
- 80', Lode M. ↓, Thom N. ↑,
- 83', Shamoon C. A. ↓, Lebib A. ↑,
- 85', Lebib A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Hore H. 🟨,
- 90+3', Freney W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Perth Glory
41.5% | Draw
26.7% | Brisbane Roar
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perth Glory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perth Glory's performance.Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Roar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perth Glory that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Roar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(3.15) |
3.53 ↓
(3.63) |
2.99 ↑
(2.18) |
5.3%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Perth will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Perth: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 2.
- Perth has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Brisbane's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Brisbane has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Perth: Anasmo J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Cook C.
(Knee Injury)
Lawrence T.
(Foot Injury)
O'Neill B.
(Injury)
Ostler T.
(Injury)
Timmins C.
(Inactive)
Wales L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
D'Agostino N.
(Knee Injury)
Long Ch.
(Ankle Injury)
Stajic M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Warland B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Brisbane: Bility H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Perth won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:29. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Perth won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Perth Glory won against Brisbane Roar?
Perth Glory has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Perth Glory?
Brisbane Roar has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
28.02.2026
Brisbane Roar
-
Perth Glory
1:1
16.01.2026
Perth Glory
-
Brisbane Roar
1:2
15.03.2025
Perth Glory
-
Brisbane Roar
1:3
21.12.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Perth Glory
0:1
23.07.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Perth Glory
2:4
Latest results of Perth Glory
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Melbourne Victory (4) | Sydney FC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Adelaide United (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Auckland FC (3) | Melbourne City (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Sydney FC (5) | |
| 2 | Adelaide United (2) | Auckland FC (3) | |
