Result
0:1
28/02/2025 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 18 | 38 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (277/371) | 85% (459/538) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 52% (35/67) | 79% (154/196) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 25% (6/24) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 67% (14/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Schreiber Z. ↓, Leckie M. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 1, Tilio M. ⚽, Kuen A. (A),
- 60', Walker N. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
- 60', Retre P. ↓, Piper C. ↑,
- 71', Rufer A. 🟨,
- 71', Rahmani K. ↓, Politidis H. ↑,
- 73', Geraldes F. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
- 77', Trewin K. 🟨,
- 88', Rufer A. ↓, Ishige H. ↑,
- 88', Payne T. ↓, Kelly-Heald L. ↑,
- 89', Caputo M. ↓, Mazzeo B. ↑,
- 89', Kuen A. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix
25.8% | Draw
26.9% | Melbourne City
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.69 ↓
(4.29) |
3.51 ↓
(3.64) |
2.01 ↑
(1.81) |
5.4%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 35.7% – 80.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Wellington won 1.
- Recent matches Wellington is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Melbourne City is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently Melbourne City have a series of guest games.
- In this match Melbourne City is a favorite.
- There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Cohen Y.
(Knee Injury)
Memeti M.
(International duty)
Nabbout A.
(Knee Injury)
Necovski J.
(Knee Injury)
Ugarkovic S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Wellington: Sloane-Rodrigues G.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Melbourne City: Jeggo J.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Wellington won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 23:39 (average 1.2:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Wellington won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:15 (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Melbourne City?
Wellington Phoenix has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Wellington Phoenix?
Melbourne City has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City were as follows:
03.01.2025
Melbourne City
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:0
09.03.2024
Melbourne City
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
24.11.2023
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne City
1:0
27.08.2023
Melbourne City
-
Wellington Phoenix
3:0
10.04.2023
Melbourne City
-
Wellington Phoenix
4:1
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Latest results of Melbourne City
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
