Result
2:2
30/01/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (355/470) | 79% (428/541) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 2.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (355/470) | 79% (428/541) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (29/79) | 33% (19/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (43/86) | 63% (79/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.81 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Eze I. ⚽, Armiento C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', 2 - 0, Eze I. ⚽, Nagasawa K. (A),
- 54', Schreiber Z. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,
- 54', Caputo M. ↓, Kuen A. ↑,
- 54', Mazzeo B. ↓, Younis M. ↑,
- 64', Payne T. ↓, Piper C. ↑,
- 64', Retre P. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
- 72', Lopane A. ↓, Antoniou P. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Younis M. ⚽,
- 75', Eze I. ↓, Mileusnic N. ↑,
- 75', Najjarine R. ↓, Sheridan M. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 2, Memeti M. ⚽,
- 84', Shillington H. ↓, Bonetig L. ↑,
- 89', Nagasawa K. ↓, Kelly-Heald L. ↑,
- 89', Kanamori T. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
- 90+2', James M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix
27.8% | Draw
26.2% | Melbourne City
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wellington Phoenix that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.39 ↓
(4.05) |
3.59 ↑
(3.57) |
2.06 ↑
(1.79) |
6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wellington: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Melbourne City (1.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Melbourne City (1.56) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH +0.25 - Wellington (1.95) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- AH +0.5 - Melbourne City (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Melbourne City (2.27) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Melbourne City (2.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Melbourne City (1.19) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Melbourne City (1.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Wellington (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Melbourne City (votes: 18 - 85.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Wellington has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of home games.
- Melbourne City could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Wellington: Edwards D.
(Inactive)
Oluwayemi J.
(Injury)
Smith J.
(Inactive)
Supyk L.
(Injury)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Atkinson N.
(Yellow Cards)
Durakovic E.
(Inactive)
Kuen A.
(Knee Injury)
Leckie M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nabbout A.
(Injury)
Ochsenham D.
(Inactive)
Rahmani K.
(Inactive)
Rashani E.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:38. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Melbourne City?
Wellington Phoenix has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Wellington Phoenix?
Melbourne City has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City were as follows:
28.02.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne City
0:1
03.01.2025
Melbourne City
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:0
09.03.2024
Melbourne City
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
24.11.2023
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne City
1:0
27.08.2023
Melbourne City
-
Wellington Phoenix
3:0
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Latest results of Melbourne City
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
