Result
2:1
07/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (466/581) | 71% (270/381) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (466/581) | 71% (270/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (20/57) | 28% (18/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (140/186) | 57% (62/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Kuen A. ⚽, Schreiber Z. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Blair N. ↓, Lavale O. ↑,
- 54', Brandtman B. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,
- 54', Paull N. ↓, Donachie J. ↑,
- 57', Lavale O. 🟨,
- 62', Schreiber Z. 🟨,
- 66', Rashani E. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
- 66', Caputo M. ↓, Nabbout A. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Nabbout A. ⚽, Arzani D. (A),
- 67', Donnell C. ↓, Mantell J. ↑,
- 73', Nasso J. ↓, Roux S. ↑,
- 80', Arzani D. ↓, Mazzeo B. ↑,
- 80', Schreiber Z. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
- 90', Rahmani K. ↓, Shillington H. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Auglah A. ⚽, James Ngor S. (A),
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
66.3% | Draw
20% | Central Coast Mariners
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.47) |
4.75 ↑
(4) |
6.87 ↑
(6.55) |
5.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Central Coast will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 26.7% – 80.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Central Coast (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Melbourne City is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T.
(Knee Injury)
Leckie M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lopane A.
(Muscle Injury)
Younis M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Central Coast: Clark S.
(Injury)
Di Pizio M.
(Injury)
McCalmont A.
(Inactive)
Paull N.
(Inactive)
Sainsbury T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Theoharous C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Central Coast Mariners?
Melbourne City has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Melbourne City?
Central Coast Mariners has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
29.11.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Melbourne City
0:0
05.04.2025
Melbourne City
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:0
31.12.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Melbourne City
1:1
02.04.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Melbourne City
2:1
21.01.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Melbourne City
2:1
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Melbourne Victory (4) | Sydney FC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Adelaide United (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Auckland FC (3) | Melbourne City (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Sydney FC (5) | |
| 2 | Adelaide United (2) | Auckland FC (3) | |
