Result
2:0
12/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 24
- Referee: King A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV 2 Asia |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV 2, Vidio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV 2 |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 3 |
 Philippines | SPOTV 2 |
 Singapore | SPOTV 2 |
 Thailand | SPOTV 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (263/355) | 73% (266/365) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (263/355) | 73% (266/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/43) | 33% (18/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (86/128) | 55% (47/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (21/31) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Behich A. ⚽, Atkinson N. (A),
- 38', Arzani D. 🟨,
- 39', Nagasawa K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Payne T. ↓, Sheridan M. ↑,
- 54', Ferreyra G. 🟨,
- 62', Nagasawa K. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
- 73', Rashani E. ↓, Rahmani K. ↑,
- 73', Nabbout A. ↓, Caputo M. ↑,
- 73', Najjarine R. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 0, Younis M. ⚽, Kuen A. (A),
- 77', Arzani D. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
- 80', Retre P. ↓, Kelly-Heald L. ↑,
- 80', Edwards D. ↓, Armiento C. ↑,
- 81', Schreiber Z. 🟨,
- 83', Schreiber Z. ↓, Leckie M. ↑,
- 90+1', Souprayen S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
52.7% | Draw
24.4% | Wellington Phoenix
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne City's form might have worsened.Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.59) |
3.88 ↑
(3.85) |
4.13 ↓
(5.15) |
5.6%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Wellington will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 13.8% – 69.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 3.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Wellington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Melbourne City is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T.
(Knee Injury)
Leckie M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lopane A.
(Muscle Injury)
Teague R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Wellington: Singh S.
(Inactive)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:22. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Wellington Phoenix?
Melbourne City has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Melbourne City?
Wellington Phoenix has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
30.01.2026
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne City
2:2
28.02.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne City
0:1
03.01.2025
Melbourne City
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:0
09.03.2024
Melbourne City
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
24.11.2023
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne City
1:0
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Melbourne Victory (4) | Sydney FC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Adelaide United (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Auckland FC (3) | Melbourne City (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Sydney FC (5) | |
| 2 | Adelaide United (2) | Auckland FC (3) | |
