Result
78:70
19/07/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 204 | 234 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 101 | 150 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 305 | 384 |
| Frees For |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Frees Against |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 37 | 34 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 77 | 104 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48 | 44 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 26 | 38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (26 - 18)
- 00:36, Curnow C. (G),
- 05:02, Pickett K. (G),
- 06:52, Curnow C. (G),
- 08:54, Moir A. (G),
- 10:56, Melksham J. (G),
- 12:38, (Behind Rushed),
- 17:04, Pickett K. (G),
- 23:05, White W. (Behind),
- 29:37, Cerra A. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (14 - 3)
- 02:54, Moir A. (G),
- 13:46, Pickett K. (Behind),
- 19:57, Motlop J. (Behind),
- 20:49, Young F. (Behind),
- 22:53, Gawn M. (Behind),
- 23:57, Windsor C. (Behind),
- 26:11, Moir A. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (19 - 28)
- 01:29, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 05:30, Fritsch B. (G),
- 07:32, Pickett K. (G),
- 12:02, Pickett K. (G),
- 14:04, Evans F. (G),
- 16:42, (Behind Rushed),
- 20:26, Moir A. (G),
- 22:47, (Behind Rushed),
- 24:25, Pickett K. (Behind),
- 26:14, Young F. (G),
- 29:48, (Behind Rushed),
- 31:26, (Behind Rushed),
- 4th Quarter (19 - 21)
- 00:51, Fritsch B. (G),
- 02:21, Young F. (Behind),
- 08:15, Docherty S. (G),
- 09:39, Carroll M. (G),
- 11:16, (Behind Rushed),
- 16:50, Fritsch B. (Behind),
- 18:05, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
- 20:43, Pickett K. (G),
- 22:38, Jefferson M. (G),
- 27:35, Curnow C. (G),
Chances of winning
Carlton Blues
38.4% | Melbourne Demons
61.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlton Blues's form might have worsened.Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Demons's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-3%)
Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.05) |
|
1.54 ↓
(1.78) |
6.2%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 162.50The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)
What is the prediction for Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 76:87.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 3.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Carlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Melbourne will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1303:1495. (average 68.6:78.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 918:988. (average 70.6:76).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlton Blues won against Melbourne Demons?
Carlton Blues has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Demons won against Carlton Blues?
Melbourne Demons has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons were as follows:
09.05.2024
Carlton Blues
-
Melbourne Demons
77:76
28.02.2024
Carlton Blues
-
Melbourne Demons
63:101
15.09.2023
Melbourne Demons
-
Carlton Blues
71:73
12.08.2023
Carlton Blues
-
Melbourne Demons
60:56
02.06.2023
Melbourne Demons
-
Carlton Blues
61:44
Latest results of Carlton Blues
Latest results of Melbourne Demons
AFL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Adelaide Crows | 23 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 2278:1635 | 139.33 | 72 |
| 2 | Geelong Cats | 23 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 2425:1714 | 141.48 | 68 |
| 3 | Collingwood Magpies | 23 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 1991:1627 | 122.37 | 64 |
| 4 | Brisbane Lions | 22 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 1972:1725 | 114.32 | 62 |
| 5 | Hawthorn Hawks | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 1966:1602 | 122.72 | 60 |
| 6 | GWS Giants | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 2010:1741 | 115.45 | 60 |
| 7 | Fremantle Dockers | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 1866:1718 | 108.61 | 60 |
| 8 | Western Bulldogs | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 2396:1708 | 140.28 | 56 |
| 9 | Gold Coast Suns | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 2020:1682 | 120.10 | 56 |
| 10 | Sydney Swans | 22 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 1727:1851 | 93.30 | 44 |
| 11 | Carlton Blues | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 1799:1861 | 96.67 | 36 |
| 12 | St Kilda Saints | 22 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 1746:1973 | 88.49 | 36 |
| 13 | Port Adelaide Power | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 1705:2136 | 79.82 | 36 |
| 14 | Melbourne Demons | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 1902:2038 | 93.33 | 28 |
| 15 | Essendon Bombers | 22 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 1477:2056 | 71.84 | 24 |
| 16 | North Melbourne | 23 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 1805:2365 | 76.32 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Tigers | 23 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 1449:2197 | 65.95 | 20 |
| 18 | West Coast Eagles | 22 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 1415:2320 | 60.99 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )
