Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons
Result
78:70
19/07/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 4

Match Stats

Goals
1210
Behinds
610
Kicks
204234
Handballs
101150
Disposals
305384
Frees For
2921
Frees Against
2129
Clearances Completed
3734
Marks
77104
Tackles
4844
Hitouts
2638

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (26 - 18)
  • 00:36, Curnow C. (G),
  • 05:02, Pickett K. (G),
  • 06:52, Curnow C. (G),
  • 08:54, Moir A. (G),
  • 10:56, Melksham J. (G),
  • 12:38, (Behind Rushed),
  • 17:04, Pickett K. (G),
  • 23:05, White W. (Behind),
  • 29:37, Cerra A. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (14 - 3)
  • 02:54, Moir A. (G),
  • 13:46, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 19:57, Motlop J. (Behind),
  • 20:49, Young F. (Behind),
  • 22:53, Gawn M. (Behind),
  • 23:57, Windsor C. (Behind),
  • 26:11, Moir A. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (19 - 28)
  • 01:29, Van Rooyen J. (G),
  • 05:30, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 07:32, Pickett K. (G),
  • 12:02, Pickett K. (G),
  • 14:04, Evans F. (G),
  • 16:42, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:26, Moir A. (G),
  • 22:47, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:25, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 26:14, Young F. (G),
  • 29:48, (Behind Rushed),
  • 31:26, (Behind Rushed),
  • 4th Quarter (19 - 21)
  • 00:51, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 02:21, Young F. (Behind),
  • 08:15, Docherty S. (G),
  • 09:39, Carroll M. (G),
  • 11:16, (Behind Rushed),
  • 16:50, Fritsch B. (Behind),
  • 18:05, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
  • 20:43, Pickett K. (G),
  • 22:38, Jefferson M. (G),
  • 27:35, Curnow C. (G),

Chances of winning


Carlton Blues
38.4%
Melbourne Demons
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 58.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlton Blues's form might have worsened.
  • Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Demons's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.05)

    1.54
    (1.78)
    6.2%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 162.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)
  • What is the prediction for Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 76:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 3.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Carlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Melbourne will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1303:1495. (average 68.6:78.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 918:988. (average 70.6:76).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons were as follows:
    09.05.2024 Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons 77:76
    28.02.2024 Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons 63:101
    15.09.2023 Melbourne Demons - Carlton Blues 71:73
    12.08.2023 Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons 60:56
    02.06.2023 Melbourne Demons - Carlton Blues 61:44
    Latest results of Carlton Blues
    Latest results of Melbourne Demons
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2015052019:1401144.1160
    2Collingwood Magpies1915041742:1290135.0460
    3Brisbane Lions1913151689:1524110.8354
    4Geelong Cats1913061949:1452134.2352
    5Hawthorn Hawks2013071764:1500117.6052
    6Fremantle Dockers1913061636:1464111.7552
    7GWS Giants2013071766:1586111.3552
    8Western Bulldogs2012082165:1577137.2948
    9Gold Coast Suns1812061677:1403119.5348
    10Sydney Swans1990101499:159693.9236
    11Port Adelaide Power1980111419:170683.1832
    12Carlton Blues1970121450:155493.3128
    13Melbourne Demons1960131532:170389.9624
    14St Kilda Saints1960131535:177786.3824
    15Essendon Bombers1860121227:171271.6724
    16Richmond Tigers1950141223:179668.1020
    17North Melbourne1941141422:195472.7718
    18West Coast Eagles1910181249:196863.474

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